Amazon can't really be proven wrong in October because of the fact that the Halo bundle has been on pre-order since before October. Any month where a super-massive exclusive game is being released and there is a LE console in the mix for that game that has been available for pre-order since before the start of the month of release all bets are off. It's pretty much the exception to the Amazon rule. Xb one was always likely to win NPD for October, but with the gift card deals at various retailers and a likely official price cut happening before the month ends a little bit of uncertainty has crept in about whether Xb one will win NPD for October. The only real thing of interest for Amazon rankings this month is how high or low the current Xb one offerings are in the charts, but really Amazon gives us nor real guide as to how NPD will turn out.

If by some miracle PS4 does win NPD for October then Xb one is really in deep shit. The Halo LE bundle ships on 20 October which means Xb one gets 2 NPD weeks of hardware boost from Halo, not just one. So there is no way anyone can legitimately claim that PS4 would only win Oct NPD because Halo 5 releases so late in the month. 2 NPD weeks of Halo 5 hardware shipments is plenty enough for Xb one to win NPD if Halo still has the pulling power it did last gen.

Also, yep Destiny LE bundle is out of stock and on back order for 14 Oct. So expect it to drop in the hourlies quite far and then jump back up on the 14th/15th. Question is whether the other PS4 skus will drop in price over the next couple of days. Impressive to sell through the entire LE stock within the space of a few hours. There is clearly plenty of demand for PS4 at $349.

I was expecting the XB1 to take the month but not by as many as people thought, and then, after watching Amazon, I thought it was even possible for the PS4 to steal the month, but now, with the price drop, I really don't know what to think. Sony could win this month. In fact, if it doesn't change until the 27th, I'm going to say Sony takes October.

Destiny was on preorder too and judging by it's position now ahead of the Halo bundle, it would be easy to assume it got better preorder numbers than Halo. It was constantly in the top 20 when it was on preorder while the Halo bundle hasn't been anywhere near that high. And now, on the eve of Halo laumching, the Destiny bundle is topping the charts. I think Destiny is stealing the Halo crowd and so Sony could take October.

I expect Halo to lose steam due to how oversaturated the FPS genre has become.With Destiny still kicking and BO3 and BF obviously being the bigger shooters this fall it takes away from the impact that Halo could have had,plus let's not forget that when Halo 3 released Live was still the leading online gaming network and PSN has taken the throne since then.

BTW I told people that BC in the X1 would not change the sales landscape.Where are all those people who said the X1 had an advantage because you could play a few 360 games on the X1 now?

Indeed, but in terms of Amazon's predictive value the Destiny bundle pre-orders don't break the Amazon rule because PS4 is the leading console and therefore on the month of release PS4 was still tracking ahead of Xb one through the month. Also even though Destiny is very popular, it seems, it's not the defining game franchise of the Playstation brand. Whereas Halo is Xbox and Xbox is Halo. Without the promise of Halo 5 Xb one would not have sold what it has to date, let alone the boost Halo is going to give Halo when it actually launches. It's why MS cannot drop the Halo franchise ever unless if departs console gaming entirely. It's the amazing thing about Playstation. Gran Turismo aside, Playstation can let popular franchises go and still sell loads of consoles. No one is batting an eye at the idea of Uncharted 4 being the final Uncharted game. Lots of people wand Sony Santa Monica to move on from God of War (or at least move on from Kratos). A significant number of people want TLOU to be a stand alone game. Killzone looks like it's coming to an end.

Even with GT, if Sony hadn't screwed up the launch of Driveclub it's quite possible that Driveclub could have taken over as the premier racer franchise for Playstation. 

Destiny bundle went out of stock on amazon.
Only 3rd parties and back to regular price now.

Once they restock it,wow.

In a way though, the fact neither of us know what to think, shows how much things have changed from earlier in the year. We'd all assumed it was just the fact that the PS4 had a steady flow of games but it appears it's not just that.

True but BC isn't available yet for the general public I thought? Isn't that later in the year? 

The general public probably isn't aware of it yet since Microsoft hasn't really started the marketing campaign for it yet. 

If MS are smart, they'll announce the BC and announce a trade in program similtaniously. I reckon that's what they'll do.