Good chance it'll win. Though I'm a little worried about its third party support, although I don't know wether it has been improving lately.
Does anyone know?
this gen is still young, of course nintendo can lose. All they have to do is piss off a bunch of 3rd party develpoers, or the consumer. So far, everything seems to be going Nintendo's way though.
If they do get a hardware failure it will just cause Nintendo fans to go out and but another Wii. xD
They make a profit on every DS and Wii console sold, they have not lost millions on development costs, they have franchises on DS and Wii that shift millions (especially on DS)...they've already won.
Well in NA and japan, it doesnt seem its gonna lose. EU will be a competition between sony and nintendo. Still i think wii has the upper hand, havent even made a price drop.
But they have to start getting 3rd party support, some of the games have been dreadful, and their are other games i expected much more from, while alot of their good games are port games. Honestly this has to change a bit. On the other hand, playstation seems to be picking up momentum, so it will be interesting to see how the battle goes on.
Yes they could lose. But if they did it wouldn't be bad.
And it is physically impossible for them to get last, as Nintendo has too much brand appeal in all regions to get behind 360 in the long run.
If you're being realistic with your worldwide hardware predictions the worst case for the Wii at this point in time is still much higher than the best case for the PS3 or XBox 360; this doesn't mean that it is impossible for the XBox 360 or PS3 to pass the Wii but it is very unlikely at this point in time.
I don't think anyone is foolish enough to be predicting a reversal in the market in 2008 so you have to consider the outcome of the Wii leading the market (by a wide margin) through out 2008. As of today, the XBox 360, PS3 and Wii have a similar number of announced third party games with intended 2008 release dates; when you factor in the quantity of games for the PS3 and XBox 360 that were delayed from 2007 (into 2008), and the very limited number of titles for 2008 release that were announced for the Wii a couple of months ago, it starts to become clear that the quantity of support for the Wii is growing (and is/may soon be much larger than than the PS3 or XBox 360). If the Wii continues to lead through 2008 it might end up with a dramatically better third party line-up in 2009 which will prevent any rapid comeback by the PS3 or XBox 360 in those years ...
Even if 2008 represents the peak of sales for the Wii, the lead that it will have built by the end of the year will take several years for the PS3 and XBox 360 to make up being that it will continue to sell at a decent rate until (at least) 2011 ...
| mitsuhide said: I think you have to give a console 2 years before you can declare it winning the gen because up to that point it is still possible for the manufacturer to screw it up and lose i.e. X360 after 2 years they are 2nd and can go into 3rd after their 3rd year, after that the X360 can not catch up. The Wii can slow down dramatically if they either A) lose the public eye B) stop being innovative or C) all the PS2 owners buy PS3's in the next year. The only problem Nintendo have with the Wii is that the ratio of Games per Wii owner is quite low after a year on the market, this is probably because most of the owners have WiiSports, WiiPlay and maybe Zelda and something else and that is all because they either inly use it for parties or they dont have the time to play it because they are normal people and havent played a console since the NES or SNES era so dont have the time to play like they used to have. |
Jumping Jesus on a pogo stick! What will it take bury the "Wii doesn't sell software" myth?
Software sales by platform from week ending Jan 4th to week ending March 7th:
Wii - 19.6 Million units
X360 - 14.3 Million units
PS3 - 9.1 Million units
Software sales for same time peroid divided by total userbase as of March 7th:
Wii - 0.873 games per Wii
X360 - 0.817 games per 360
PS3 - 0.843 games per PS3
And this is without the massive spike of this week's NA Brawl sales. Cue the excuses as to why several Wii titles don't really count.
On topic, I think the worst that Nintendo could do is pull a Sony and massively overinvest in the next console generation, then have a poor reception.
I mean, how many billions of dollars in profit is Nintendo projecting for this fiscal year? 3.5 or so? Sony and MS would be doing well if they netted that much profit for the whole generation! The number and magnitude of screwups it would take to blow this seem very improbable.
"The worst part about these reviews is they are [subjective]--and their scores often depend on how drunk you got the media at a Street Fighter event." — Mona Hamilton, Capcom Senior VP of Marketing
*Image indefinitely borrowed from BrainBoxLtd without his consent.
| finalsquall said: The real battle is between Sony and MS. The Wii is in its on class and the closest competition is the ps2 - and it won't beat the ps2. So I say let the Wii runs its own little race and let the big boys play :D |
You should work for Sony's PR department, seriously, you'd go far.
Easily, as the PS3 and 360 price keeps dropping I would expect to see a decrease in Wii market share.
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