Can Nitendo lose this generation?

[famousringo]

mitsuhide said:
I think you have to give a console 2 years before you can declare it winning the gen because up to that point it is still possible for the manufacturer to screw it up and lose i.e. X360 after 2 years they are 2nd and can go into 3rd after their 3rd year, after that the X360 can not catch up.

The Wii can slow down dramatically if they either A) lose the public eye B) stop being innovative or C) all the PS2 owners buy PS3's in the next year. The only problem Nintendo have with the Wii is that the ratio of Games per Wii owner is quite low after a year on the market, this is probably because most of the owners have WiiSports, WiiPlay and maybe Zelda and something else and that is all because they either inly use it for parties or they dont have the time to play it because they are normal people and havent played a console since the NES or SNES era so dont have the time to play like they used to have.

 Jumping Jesus on a pogo stick! What will it take bury the "Wii doesn't sell software" myth?

 Software sales by platform from week ending Jan 4th to week ending March 7th:

Wii - 19.6 Million units

X360 - 14.3 Million units

PS3 - 9.1 Million units 

 

Software sales for same time peroid divided by total userbase as of March 7th:

Wii - 0.873 games per Wii

X360 - 0.817 games per 360

PS3 - 0.843 games per PS3

 

 And this is without the massive spike of this week's NA Brawl sales. Cue the excuses as to why several Wii titles don't really count.

 

On topic, I think the worst that Nintendo could do is pull a Sony and massively overinvest in the next console generation, then have a poor reception.

I mean, how many billions of dollars in profit is Nintendo projecting for this fiscal year? 3.5 or so? Sony and MS would be doing well if they netted that much profit for the whole generation! The number and magnitude of screwups it would take to blow this seem very improbable.