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Forums - Sony - PREDICT : UNCHARTED 4: A Thief's End Sales PREDICTION Thread!!!

 

Uncharted 4: A Thief's End Liftime Sales

around 7 million 144 46.45%
 
around 12million 126 40.65%
 
around 15million 38 12.26%
 
Total:308
enlightenedmaster said:
super6646 said:

Man, please stop denying it. I gave you a source, your clearly denying it.

wikipedia isn't a source

stop bullshitting


It is a source. Vgchartz has been known to be quite off with software before. Anyway that's fine, if you don't want to believe it, don't!



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enlightenedmaster said:
binary solo said:

I am talking data as per VGChartz, plus digital could be a different story.

vgchartz has been known to add digital sales estimate to their sales data

Which of those franchises has made it to 10 million on a single platform? Not Fifa, not Ass Creed. Cod, yes because it's Cod. GT sometimes makes it to 10 million but not consistently and it's been a flagship franchise since PS1.

FIFA 15 sold 17million copies

ASSASSINS CREED 3 sold 12million copies

CALL OF DUTY - you urself know

GRAN TURISMO - GT1,3,4,5 all sold over 10million and GT2 sold over 9.5million - pretty consistant enough

FINAL FANTASY 7 sold 12million copies

Only 1 out of 5 Halo games has passed 10 million physical.

HALO - halo 3 sold over 10million and HALO 4,REACH,ODST came close to 10million

TLOU needed a PS4 remaster to reach 10 million, unconfirmed and still only with digital added. TLOU IS a better game than Uncharted.

LAST OF US has most likely sold 10million total

Anyway the options are around 7 million and around 12 million, so I went with 7 million because I don't think it will go above 9.5 and below 9.5 means closer to 7 than 12.

but atleast in ur post you can say 9.5million

it will atleast make 10million plus SONY will bundle it so it will cross 12million



I asked single platform and you gave me multiplatform sales.Several franchises you've listed have relied on multiplatform sales to cross 10 million. Uncharted will not benefit from multiplatform release so you can't compare the likes of Ass Creed and Fifa sales on all the platforms to project 10 million for UC4 on PS4. We don't know what games VGC has added digital sales to, and more than likely this site only adds digital sales when it's a known quantity, like download code bundled with hardware. It can't count digital sales from people who already own the hardware, unless VGC uses an estimate which facotrs in genre and platform and applies a % of physical which has been derived from some industry data. It is possible that there is industry data out there which can be used to get a rough estimate of digital sales on consoles, because these days publishers seem to include digital sales % in quarterly reports. But AFAIK VGC is not doing this across all games.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

enlightenedmaster said:


Uncharted 4 cud reach 15m with perfect score reviews and SONY marketing and PS4 momentum and Uncharted hype

and

PS4 bundling and remember PS4 price-cut in fall 2015 and PS4 SLIM in 2016


The first 3 Uncharted games sold a total of 21m... 15m is not even a reasonable prediction to consider for UC4 at this point. Anything over 10m is also very unlikely. 



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enlightenedmaster said:
Heavenly_King said:
realistically I think 7M but would be awesome if it reaches 12M

most likely it will

 

LAST of US sold more than 10million,7million in the first year itself

 

UNCHARTED is going to be SONY's main franchise and they will market the hell out of it

it will easily so 7million in the first 6months and around 8-9million first year itself

also remeber PS4 is far ahead install base and also much much faster growing hardware sales compared to when Uncharted 2 launched on 23million PS3 install base

 

Plus SONY and PLAYSTATION are in resurgance and all games are selling much much better on PS4 than they ever did on PS3


I think you've repeated these statistics enough. Literally thought I just kept refreshing on accident, all the way to page 7 because you've made the same post repeatedly.

 

Anyway, FW - 2 mill.

Lt - 9.3+



11 Millions plus , Insha Allah.



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binary solo said:

I am talking data as per VGChartz, plus digital could be a different story.

i was mostly talking abt vgchartz sales only

Which of those franchises has made it to 10 million on a single platform? Not Fifa, not Ass Creed. Cod, yes because it's Cod.

ass creed.......................lmao

fifa and assasins has not sold 10million on 1 platform but why does it matter

GT sometimes makes it to 10 million but not consistently and it's been a flagship franchise since PS1.

GT has almost always sold over 10million or near it

GT has had 6 main games, 4 of them have crossed 10million and 1 has come near 10million

i say that is pretty damn consistent enough,else ur definition of 'consistently' is different from normal english defintion that other use

 

it being a flagship franchise since PS1 means nothing in this debate,moreover it damages it as GT and racing games genre has declined big time since then

Only 1 out of 5 Halo games has passed 10 million physical.

well yes but 2 have come close to 10million

TLOU needed a PS4 remaster to reach 10 million, unconfirmed and still only with digital added. TLOU IS a better game than Uncharted.

LAST OF US is pretty much confirmed 10milion seller

and if release of PS4,itself cud go on and sell 10million on its own if the game is very good the way PS4 hardware and software sales are going

 

and LAST OF US might be a little more interesting but UNCHARTED is ouright a far bigger franchise

Anyway the options are around 7 million and around 12 million, so I went with 7 million because I don't think it will go above 9.5 and below 9.5 means closer to 7 than 12.

i agree with that

i was gonna add 10million option but editing screwed it up





aLkaLiNE said:


I think you've repeated these statistics enough. Literally thought I just kept refreshing on accident, all the way to page 7 because you've made the same post repeatedly.

 

Anyway, FW - 2 mill.

Lt - 9.3+

hehe

 

people prediction was outright too low and unrealistic



PenguinZ said:


The first 3 Uncharted games sold a total of 21m... 15m is not even a reasonable prediction to consider for UC4 at this point. Anything over 10m is also very unlikely. 

it pretty much is

PS4 hardware and software are selling much much faster than PS3 and also all the games are selling 2-3x times on PS4.

We all know SONY had a terrible generation with PS3 on all fronts

 

UNCHARTED 4 will easily make around 7-9million in its first year alone

Plus SONY marketing will get it to 12million

and EXTENSIVE bundling can get it to 15million pretty easily as PS4 will easily sell over 15-20million consoles for next 3 years

 

I didn't think UC4 will sell 15million on its own



binary solo said:

I asked single platform and you gave me multiplatform sales.

you no where mentioned 'single platform'

Several franchises you've listed have relied on multiplatform sales to cross 10 million.

yeah

but if PS3 was anywhere near PS4's success then

 

FIFA,ASSASSINS,LAST OF US,FINAL FANTASY cud all easily sell 10million on a single platfrom itself

Uncharted will not benefit from multiplatform release so you can't compare the likes of Ass Creed and Fifa sales on all the platforms to project 10 million for UC4 on PS4.

it is actually a good thing as Exclusivity benefits from buzz and hype and marketing unlike multiplatform games

Also UNCHARTED 4 doesn't really need multi=platfrom to get it to 10million

We don't know what games VGC has added digital sales to, and more than likely this site only adds digital sales when it's a known quantity, like download code bundled with hardware. It can't count digital sales from people who already own the hardware,

in the past VGC has almost gone on and copied,publishers publicly given sales may it be retail or digital or combined

unless VGC uses an estimate which facotrs in genre and platform and applies a % of physical which has been derived from some industry data.

VGC does use estimates,whr do you think they get the number from otherwise..................out of their asses?(joking)

It is possible that there is industry data out there which can be used to get a rough estimate of digital sales on consoles, because these days publishers seem to include digital sales % in quarterly reports. But AFAIK VGC is not doing this across all games.

the way VGC is going with numbers,its not doing anything for any game



super6646 said:
enlightenedmaster said:

wikipedia isn't a source

stop bullshitting


It is a source. Vgchartz has been known to be quite off with software before. Anyway that's fine, if you don't want to believe it, don't!

no it isn't

i can edit wiki,the way i want and make myself the president of USA and then give it as a source

 

I am not just relying on VGC data as i know it can be faulty but it can also be sometimes outright accurate

If you were following sales last generation,HALO 3 sales seemed to have stuck on 9million then MICROSOFT had console and bundle discounts all year round and HALO 3 went onto sell 12million.

After that we don't know as the game became old and nobody cared or followed it and MICROSOFT didn't say anything abt it.

 

As it is,it doesn't matter much as HALO sales over 9million were bundled or cheap $5-20 sales,after 12million even worse than that

 

its not really abt believing when you have a debate,you are not GOD that you expect everyone to believe you.....................don't be lidicrous