It's all about quality and not quantity. Bayo 2 and smash both got over 90 on metacritic. The only one that may be able to do that is mario maker.
Given the graphics and development time for starfox, it seems clear that that game will sell mainly on nostalgia.
FFV and Xeno X are both niche japanese game and I doubt they will sell a lot (xeno x may be big if it gets great marketing though). Yoshi and Mario tennis will sell moderately well, but they are both clearly small spin off series compared to smash. Animal crossing is also a free title, so how will you measure the "sales" of that?
Ultimately mario maker is the only "big" title of that list. Having zelda would have mitigated this issue, but it didn't have to be zelda, it could have been metroid or a new IP
I also don't know why you are limiting it to holiday 2014 to 2015. Adding in mario kart 8 and Donkey kong tropical freeze clealy blows away this year's releases










