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Forums - Sales - Pachter: GTA IV could sell 9 million units by Halloween

Fastrabbit09 on 12 March 2008

not buying it

smaller userbase
less casuals to buy it

it will be tough getting 9mil lifetime



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
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Legend11 on 12 March 2008

The game's real advertising won't begin until April. Then it'll be everywhere...



leo-j on 12 March 2008

I know for certain GTA 4 will easily surpass the 9 million mark by that time, I'll even make a bet if anyone is willing to take it.



 

mM
kingofwale on 12 March 2008

I don't know, 9 million is a big number. I won't bet against it, but I will certainly not going to say that it will.

Patcher, respectable or not, is slowly making himself looking like a jack-ass with those predictions.



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
Deviation59 on 12 March 2008

This game is just so incredibly hard to predict when it comes to sales. The previous three were monsters on the PS2 but a large percentage of sales came from people who spent less than $200 on their PS2. It's also one of the series to buck the trends and actually sell more copies in subsequent releases.

I think combined sales will easily reach 9 million lifetime... I don't know about 9 million by the end of October. We could easily see a scenario play out that's similar to what was seen on the PS2 - each successive release of GTA garners more sales as the userbase grows. Again, while that may make sense, this is the opposite of what most series experience, where the first iteration on a new console sells more copies than subsequent iterations for that generation.

My expectation for lifetime sales of GTA IV is closer to those of GTA III than GTA San Andreas.



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Neos on 12 March 2008
leo-j said:
I know for certain GTA 4 will easily surpass the 9 million mark by that time, I'll even make a bet if anyone is willing to take it.

 lol i take it before you change your mind!



Neos - "If I'm posting in this thread it's just for the lulz."
Tag by the one and only Fkusumot!

 

yungmagic09 on 12 March 2008

I think it will, plus I feel there is going to be a lot of advertising for this game.



playnext3 on 12 March 2008

9 million is not impossible,i except much more 15 million,im surious....



Fastrabbit09 on 12 March 2008

i will take the bet

i will even give 2:1 odds..i leave for 2 weeks if wrong or u leave for 1 week if wrong



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
ItsaMii on 12 March 2008

Those number are way too high. It will only reach 9 million if it goes platinum early in its life. I think 9 million by Halloween is just crazy. GTA 4 will do great numbers, but the userbase is not big enough for this.



Satan said:

"You are for ever angry, all you care about is intelligence, but I repeat again that I would give away all this superstellar life, all the ranks and honours, simply to be transformed into the soul of a merchant's wife weighing eighteen stone and set candles at God's shrine."