"and even if as we all know the Nintendo games legs are the most strong."

That's my point; this is being used as one of the primary reasons why Splatoon will have great lifetime sales, yet we don't know that these famed legs will find their place underneath this particular title, and I showed you an example of an old core Nintendo franchise that goes against this sentiment.

If first week sales aren't what people are hoping, legs will be the saving grace, and in order for it to meet some of expectations it would need MK-like legs. You should also note that I wrote "Are people expecting Splatoon to have Mario Kart legs?" and not that you are expecting it.

Bottom line is; this is a game with enormous expectations and these expectations are grounded in assumptions that are as of yet just as unproven as saying Splatoon won't be able to outsell Sunset Overdrive. We just don't know.
I think Splatoon will do better than I initially assumed, with the massive marketing we're seeing now (I even saw a stand in my local "GAME" store nearby) but on the whole, I still remain uncertain as to whether there is a large market for this title.

PS: Saying that Splatoon will have a "super bigger" launch than SO is also making assumptions, and I'm curious as to what sort of number that would indicate as well.

I say:  "and even if as we all know the Nintendo games legs are the most strong."

 Not Splatoon, but NINTENDO.

And is a fact, the Nintendo games usually have better legs than the other games. Will Splatoon have strong legs? we will see.

For the "super bigger launch", SO have sold 100,000 in October NPD. XBO outsold PS4 the last week of October, that's mean that the XBO+SO bundle was huge, so, the VGChartz numbers (SO at 130,000 according to VGC) seem right.

UK SO sold probabily 30,000 or so, and we have around 220,000 globally... this numbers are not official but seem close.

Splatoon have nearly 100 point on COMG, and will probabily pass today. Usually 1 point = 1k sales for the Ninty games, that's mean that Splatoon will be at +100k very easy in Japan first week, let me say more than 120,000.

US, usually is bigger for Nintendo, so, more than 120,000 even in the US. probabily more than 150,000, if not more, MP10 sold nearly 300,000 in March NPD...

Europe we can assume at least 80,000, or more likely +100,000, for a total of nearly/more 400,000 unit globally.

That is nearly/more than double of SO.

i wasn't aware of that
in that case 500k first week a given (including digital)

Because price of 40€ in Europe, I think digital sales will be very good, especially first week because of promotion price of 36€. I decided to buy digital version.

It looks like most people who have a Wii U will purchase Splatoon. However, how many people actually have the Wii U as a supported console and not a main one? Since the Wii U isn't selling very well, we should expect a rise in console sales, and therefore Splatoon sales. This must be why Nintendo created the bundle.

lol

Lmao

What is this directed towards?

500k FW, he simply thinks thats too low of a prediction. Optimistic Nintendo fans these days...... :)

DK: Tropical Freeze does not have good legs, it has barely moved in 2015 and isn't even in the top 75 for our last full software list (from late March) while a title like Little Big Planet 3 finds its way to a 46th spot on the same list.

Why is it silly to think that Splatoon might not have the same good legs that many other Nintendo titles have? Are we talking short-term only? You mention a 3 month period.

Besides, having good legs "for a few months" is not exactly what neither I nor Ryng (I believe) was talking about, he mentions Nintendo legs, the kind that takes strides that last several years at their best, selling decently for a few months isn't any sort of excpetional feat for most titles, regardless of who made it.
You are completely free to think that my more careful and skeptical expectation is insane (although I never stated that the game can't sell pretty well for a shorter period of time, making this sort of a strawman) but I think that many people have insane expectations of it as well; I've seen quite a few stating that it will sell 2-3 million or perhaps even more lifetime, with the only supporting pieces of "evidence" for this being that "people loved the demo" and "it's great fun and make by Nintendo".

Look; I hope it sells great, I really do, I hate what the online and shooter scene has become over the course of the 7th generation, which was when I started seriously turning away from console gaming. But, I don't think it will sell great, and it's important to tell the difference. Should my more timid stance prove to be wrong; I would celebrate the fact along with them and be happy that something besides Call of Duty and Battlefield manages to move a significant number of units at long last.

PS: By "sell great", I mean more than 1-1.5 million.