US 90k
EU 40k
JP 55k
WW 185k
How much will sell Splatoon first week? | |||
100,000 or less BOMBED | 128 | 13.05% | |
150,000 - 200,000 | 195 | 19.88% | |
250,000 - 300,000 | 171 | 17.43% | |
300,000 - 350,000 | 133 | 13.56% | |
400,000 - 450,000 | 113 | 11.52% | |
500,000 - 550,000 | 93 | 9.48% | |
600,000 - 650,000 | 26 | 2.65% | |
700,000 - 750,000 | 14 | 1.43% | |
Above 750k SUCCES!!! | 106 | 10.81% | |
Total: | 979 |
Japan - 15k
US - 45k
EU - 20k
Rest - 12k
Total - 92k
Toxy said:
Bayonetta 2 has sold over 600k and is a new IP for Nintendo fans, although it is technically not a new IP, so your point still stands.
The Wonderful 101 is a game targeted toward a very niche crowd. Dare I say, it would not have moved much units on Sony or Microsoft platforms. It is a niche genre, as well as being developed by a niche party (Platinum Games). Platinum games are notorious for generally being high quality titles, yet they do not necessarily equate to good sales. Splatoon, while being a new IP, is a Nintendo developed in-house title. It is of a more popular genre, one of which does not have a strong presence on the Wii U at the moment. |
Right, so nothing that's brand new other than ZombiU.
Captain Toad, apparently builds of a minigame from SM3DW. If so, it's more than just using a known character from the Mario universe, which is a nice leg up in itself, but is a spin off from one of the best selling games on Wii U.
Bayonetta 2, well that speaks for itself. Don't know why you brought it up.
I agree that Splatoon should do better than TW101. After all I am picking it should start with about 7-8x the FW sales of TW101. But it is a game that is quite outside the norm for a multiplayer TPS, which is a reasonably popular genre, but not all that popular as a MP only genre. That benchmark is somewhat set by PvZ:GW, which comes from a known and popular franchise. It has done well across 5 combined platforms, but has not sold over 1 million on any single platform, though it probably got lots of digital sales, and it was given away for 24hrs on PSN to celebrate the 20th anniversary, which is how I got it.
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here are my predicitons:
US : 120k
EUR: 70k
Japan : 50k
RoW: 40k
Which adds up to 280k FW, and just for the hell of it, I predict 1,7 lifetime.
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Toxy said: I think some people are underestimating the sales for this game in Japan. Squids are quite popular in Japan in video games, anime (as well as other types of anime *ahem*) and other categories of their pop culture. Third Person shooters also tend to be more popular in Japan in comparison to 1st person. My estimate for first week: US 150k EU 100k JP 120k WW 425k |
I thibk you're failing to understand the difference between "because its good" and "because it features an object that is popular in that region"
Also you are crossing types and genres in meaningless ways to bolster a rather pointless stance.
Ika musumes popularity is smalltime in Japan, and the popularity it has is confined to that particular character.
Don't make the same foolish mistake xbox fans id expecting titanfall to fly off the shelves because it had robots, something infinitely more popular in japan than squids, and with wider appeal.
First week sales for splatoon in japan will be weak.
Gonna BookMark this thread so that after I see the MC sales I can go on certain people
s wall and give them their serving of crow :)
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uran10 said: Gonna BookMark this thread so that after I see the MC sales I can go on certain people s wall and give them their serving of crow :) |
Not in the wall dude, on the thread is more funny :P
Barkley said: I know some of you are nintendo fans and want the game to do well but be realistic, above 500k first week isn't going to happen. Don't let Bias affect your predictions. |
Well, i predict under 300,000 first week. ^^
JP: 40k
EU: 60k
US: 120k
WW: 220k
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