Wii did over 12 million in it's peak year in the same Sept-Dec timeframe, so 11 million with a global $100 price cut is definitely possible. PS3 did 8.8 million in 2008 for that period. PS4 did 8.6 million in 2014 at $399. PS4 should do much better than that with the same price cut and the same price point as PS3 in 2008.

But I'm not sure where 9+ million in sales is coming from between March and September. 1.5 million per month on average over the doldrum months seems very unlikely. More than likely PS4 will be flat or marginally down on 2014 at the current price, and the doldrum months last year never went above 750K. And the OP thinks PS4 will double that this year for no reason other than a few games? Batman could help June get to 1 million, but that's about it.

So with that in mind I think 25 million by 1 Sept is optimistic + 11 million with a $100 price cut = 36 million end of 2015.

$50 price cut and awesome special deals for BF and in December I can see PS4 doing about 9-10 million so 34-35 million end of 2015 in that case.

what do you think the current ps4 numbers are? last vgc update was for march 7th.

~1 million for March so that already puts you 500K behind the monthly average needed to hit 29 million by 1 Sept. And it's all downhill from there, aside from the bump the Batman special edition console will give it in June.

nah 29 million by september 30th.

Silly me, I mis-read. Still I don't see 29 million by 30 Sept either.

TPP is the biggest thing coming to PS4 before 3 Sept, and beinbg multiplat it's going to have a slightly dampening effect on its hardware pushing potential. Persona is really only big in Japan, let's face it, it won't do much for PS4 outside of that. 2 million in Sept is the best you'll get if its pre-price cut, which puts it at about 27 million. If the price cut actually happens in the final week of Sept then you might get an extra 500K. So 27.5 million.

Also my mis-read makes 11 million between Oct and Dec highly unlikely. The mighty Wii only just squeaked past 11 million in 2009 (oops just realised I used the wrong year in my first post) over those 3 months. And that was the year Wii dropped to $199.

Do you really think that Persona 5 and Ratchet & Clank will release in the first half of the year? o.O

I think March will be a big month WW. Around 1.5mil.

Wouldnt surprise me if actual PS4 sales at end of March where around 22 million units or so.

no in the summer or september

This prediction is extremely unrealistic.

2014 - The PS4 sells over 14m units....

2015 (Based on this prediction) - ~22.5m units..Nope, not going to happen. Even with a $100 price cut. (Which I somewhat doubt will happen for profit reasons)


34-35m is more reasonable and obtainable.

Still too early.