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Forums - Sales Discussion - Dont be shocked if PS4 crosses 50 million mark by September 2016

 

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Total:469
Paatar on 03 April 2015

By how it is currently performing, I don't see it as a difficult achievement.



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thismeintiel on 03 April 2015

slab_of_bacon said:

Sony is winning the 8th gen, handedly.  Console gaming is alive and well!

Fixed that for you.



 

PenguinZ on 03 April 2015
thismeintiel said:
Actually, this is slowly moving into the realm of the guaranteed. The PS4 is getting a price cut this year. My guess is it may well be a full $100 to $299, at which point sales are going to explode. At the end of this year, sales will probably be around 35M, maybe more if the price cut has a HUGE affect. That puts it only 15M away from 50M. With the price cut in place for the whole year, plus UC4 (and any other exclusives Sony announces at E3) and Morpheus (if it is cheap enough), 50M is very doable by Sept 15.

On a related topic, I think the XBO will be ~24M and Wii U will be ~16M.


Unrealistic at best. Sony has very little reason to do that extreme of a price cut.



Current gaming platforms - Switch, PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Wii U, New 3DS, PC

kinisking on 03 April 2015

i agree !



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

thismeintiel on 03 April 2015
PenguinZ said:
thismeintiel said:
Actually, this is slowly moving into the realm of the guaranteed. The PS4 is getting a price cut this year. My guess is it may well be a full $100 to $299, at which point sales are going to explode. At the end of this year, sales will probably be around 35M, maybe more if the price cut has a HUGE affect. That puts it only 15M away from 50M. With the price cut in place for the whole year, plus UC4 (and any other exclusives Sony announces at E3) and Morpheus (if it is cheap enough), 50M is very doable by Sept 15.

On a related topic, I think the XBO will be ~24M and Wii U will be ~16M.


Unrealistic at best. Sony has very little reason to do that extreme of a price cut.

They had little reason to do so with the PS1 and PS2.  Didn't stop them, though.



 

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fory77 on 03 April 2015

I will be surprised if it doesn't!



PenguinZ on 03 April 2015
thismeintiel said:
PenguinZ said:


Unrealistic at best. Sony has very little reason to do that extreme of a price cut.

They had little reason to do so with the PS1 and PS2.  Didn't stop them, though.


Different times, different circumstances. Sony will probably take the route that makes them the most profit. Bundles are far more likely than a price cut and if there is a price cut it'd probably only be $50.



Current gaming platforms - Switch, PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Wii U, New 3DS, PC

slab_of_bacon on 03 April 2015
thismeintiel said:

slab_of_bacon said:

Sony is winning the 8th gen, handedly.  Console gaming is alive and well!

Fixed that for you.


No hate... I'm just telling you how I see it.  I'm not sure how you define "winning" but I think each company's console has got something going for it.  Sony is definitely moving a lot more home console hardware than anyone else.  However I don't see them reaching fifty million by next September.  



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Namiirei on 03 April 2015
PenguinZ said:


Different times, different circumstances. Sony will probably take the route that makes them the most profit. Bundles are far more likely than a price cut and if there is a price cut it'd probably only be $50.


50$ pricecut is useless.

 

they will drop the price by 100$, especially after the xone drop to 300.



Welfare on 03 April 2015

Won't happen.

September 2016 would be equivalent of September 2009 and the Wii was at 56.140m shipped at that time. We already see the PS4 is slowing compared to the Wii, and it won't be able to match the Wii in total sales in that time frame.

Looking at how even worse this prediction looks, in Q4 of 2008, the year before, the Wii shipped 10.41m units. it went into 2009 with 44.96m units shipped. Then in Q1 of 2009 it shipped an additional 5.43m.

The PS4 can't match those types of shipments. No ands, ifs, or buts. 50 million at the end of 2016 could happen, but before then? Not happening.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287