Bynary, i think that you are one of the brightest minds here, that said...

I have to say i don't agree with you in that one. It's just not logical to me.

For some reason, I don't really like the batman design for the PS4... :/

You dislike superhero's what? Eyes, hairstyle, alter ego, costume, abilities? I am confused.

Or do you mean you dislike superheroes?

The calculus is fairly simple.

Without any special edition bundles thrown into the mix expected PS4 and Xb one sales are X and Y, and Z-Y=Z1 which is the expected difference between PS4 and Xb one sales for a month.

With a special edition console added to the mix, then it is certain that some people (B) will delay their PS4 purchase in order to get that special edition. therefore the new expected sales for a month will be (X-B). This means Z is calculated by (X-B)-Y=Z2.

If  Z1 is relatively small (which it might be for May) and B>Z, that means Z2 will be in favour of Xb one rather than PS4.

I think with March and April looking to be significant PS4 months (people possibly bringing forward PS4 purchases for the exclusive releases there are now), and with purchases being delayed because of the Batman special edition, it is possible that B>Z1. Xb one is a far more attractive prospect now than it was this time last year, so I don't think you can use last year's information as a basis for how things will go this May.

I do think that probably April belongs to PS4, so really it's whether there will be a decreased amount of PS4 sales in May.

I can see the bundle dropping 50k off Playstation sales for both months. But those 50k people will be waiting on the bundle, not buying an Xbox one instead. If the limited edition version was at $399 and not limited, that might have made a bit more impact.

I won't change the title. But I am thinking Xb one could win April AND May now. Perhaps with the Batman Bundle actually available in April people held off buying. But with the bundle being pretty much sold out now maybe May PS4 sales won't be so affected.

Hard to tell really, but Xb one is in with a good chance of taking both months.

Time for some crow

Good thread. Congrats.

Of course it seems there were other factors. I hear there were some promotions for Xb one in April?

agreed I haven't seen the april npd yet but this prediction makes a lot of sense

Great prediction! Let's see what May has in store.