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Forums - Sales Discussion - What will the Xbox One sell in its lifetime?

 

How much?

none lawl 67 62.04%
 
more than ps4 double lawl 8 7.41%
 
Halo 5 will push it to 100 mill 33 30.56%
 
Total:108
KdxlavkdX on 27 March 2015

45-50 million.



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vivster on 27 March 2015

Everything above 40m will be a success.



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super6646 on 27 March 2015

70 million. 



BHR-3 on 27 March 2015
shikamaru317 said:
Hard to say because we don't know for sure how long this gen will be. Thus far it has been tracking ahead of 360, but the 7th gen was notably long, and all signs suggest that 8th gen will be shorter. I think it'll definitely top 50m lifetime, but no way to know just how far past 50m it can make it.


what are these signs that are pointing to a shorter gen?



                                                             

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Angelv577 on 27 March 2015

Even though xbox one is ahead of xbox 360, it reached more of its sales due to taking advantage of ps3 price point and Kinect which give it another push during mid gen. Assuming there won't be another Kinect miracle this time and ps4 is eating marketshare from xbox everywhere, I see this way.

Xbox 360



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Ruler on 27 March 2015

35 million



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Angelv577 on 27 March 2015

Even though xbox one is ahead of xbox 360 at the same point in time, it reached more of its sales due to taking advantage of ps3 price point and Kinect which give it another push during mid gen. Assuming there won't be another Kinect miracle this time and ps4 wil keepl eating marketshare from xbox everywhere, I see this way.

Xbox 360 xbox one
US 44m 30m max
Europe 25m 15m max
Japan 1.6m 250k
ROW 13m 4m
Approx 84m 50m

The only place where I see a turn around is in US and a bit in Uk but ps4 will gain almost all marketshare lost elsewhere.



Ryng on 27 March 2015
Angelv577 said:

Even though xbox one is ahead of xbox 360 at the same point in time, it reached more of its sales due to taking advantage of ps3 price point and Kinect which give it another push during mid gen. Assuming there won't be another Kinect miracle this time and ps4 wil keepl eating marketshare from xbox everywhere, I see this way.

Xbox 360 xbox one
US 44m 30m max
Europe 25m 15m max
Japan 1.6m 250k
ROW 13m 4m
Approx 84m 50m

The only place where I see a turn around is in US and a bit in Uk but ps4 will gain almost all marketshare lost elsewhere.

Let's say:

US: 20,000,000 - 25,000,000

EU: 8,000,000 - 10,000,000

RW: 2,000,000 - 4,000,000

WW: 30,000,000 to 40,000,000



NobleTeam360 on 27 March 2015

50 million.



Arkaign on 27 March 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
Angelv577 said:

Even though xbox one is ahead of xbox 360 at the same point in time, it reached more of its sales due to taking advantage of ps3 price point and Kinect which give it another push during mid gen. Assuming there won't be another Kinect miracle this time and ps4 wil keepl eating marketshare from xbox everywhere, I see this way.

Xbox 360 xbox one
US 44m 30m max
Europe 25m 15m max
Japan 1.6m 250k
ROW 13m 4m
Approx 84m 50m

The only place where I see a turn around is in US and a bit in Uk but ps4 will gain almost all marketshare lost elsewhere.

Let's say:

US: 20,000,000 - 25,000,000

EU: 8,000,000 - 10,000,000

RW: 2,000,000 - 4,000,000

WW: 30,000,000 to 40,000,000

This is about exactly on target imho. I could see + or - 10-15% at most from this summary.

And honestly, that's a damn good number coming from such a troubled launch and with ridiculously popular competition. There are a LOT of great consoles in history that haven't hit 50M LTD.