You do know that AMD has already confirmed a combined sell-through of 30mn PS4+X1 at the end of 2014, right? And we already know the sell-through numbers for PS4.

Hmmm... With the imminent China release, it could come close, but doubling it seems unlikely. I'm really looking forward though to seeing how PS4 does post China release along with it's pretty solid lineup for the year.

 That has been on my mind alot, lately. Both Nintendo and Sony have given out their official numbers already, but MS has only given us total number shipped between XBone and 360. I'm not even sure why MS is being so shy about it.

They confirmed that it's almost at 30m, not 30m exactly. 27m can be "close" to 30m.

I myself don't take the AMD news fo absolute truth, but saying 27m is just wishful thinking. I think it sucks that MS are combining shipments, just like Sony did with PS3+PS2, but just going by shipments point toward MS shipping north of 12M. Or do you think 360 hardly dropped anything YOY and absolutely pulverized PS3? Because that would be the only other logical (however unlikely) answer. But I am guessing you don't like that idea either :).

lool, this. 

Seriously though it not even the PS4 numbers that few me off, its how little you expect the xbox to sell by august.I expect it to average 400k a month, I expect 3m sales in by that period of time at MINIMUM. I expect X1 numbers to be 14m-16m come august. Lots of system sellers arriving before then (and yes, I mean 3rd party). Not crazily unrealistic that PS4 could double it, I just don't see it happening. Recently saw a rumour that Uncharted 4 is due in July, not gonna happen but if it did then I'd be more willing to side with you.

@ the bolded you're expecting X1 to be down YOY? How given Q1/Q2 games line up? Last year it dropped as low as 40k around the price cut period, those numbers simply aren't happening in 2015.

You're overlooking a lot of important things: PS4 japanese launch, Watchdogs exclusive marketing, The last of US, PS4 capitalising on the general weakness of the X1 (its in a much better position this year), the sales drop that proceded the official price cut, the fact that the X1 price cut wasn't undercutting sony like it is now. All of this has been reflected in the holiday sales.

It'll double YTD numbers but not LTD.

400k a month? Try 200k and that would still be an optimist's guess.

The Xbone sells 100k - 150k/month in the US from Jan - June. For the Xbone to sell 400k/month in the early months means that the US:ROW ratio is less than .6 for the Xbone, which is highly implausible.