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Forums - Sony - Prediction: PS4 will sell 37,000,000 by Dec 31. 2015

Aura7541 on 13 January 2015
jetforcejiminy said:
Aura7541 said:

You did not really answer my question. Define "people"...

you predicted 43m (70% increase). people includes you as far as i'm concerned. when you're 7m higher than what will actually happen next year, what does it matter how much farther upwards you go? 15m, 10m, 7m? they're equally absurd, easily two quarters worth of sales.

finally, that bet?

"I'm predicting it'll be in the range of 36-39M. 40M+ is a possibility, but that is if Sony is willing to be really aggresive."

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6991006

Also read my edit from my last comment because I clearly did not claim a 50% increase as my main prediction. I predicted a 50% increase on the condition that Sony is more aggresive with pricing, bundling, advertising, etc.



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mountaindewslave on 13 January 2015
bonzobanana said:
Seems we are mostly all agreed the ps4 will have a fantastic year, approximately doubling its numbers. It will have a larger catalogue of games and no doubt a price reduction and there may be new developments coming in like a VR headset that may be officially announced if not launched this year. While I don't have a ps4 yet I'm building up a library on psn plus for one and expect to get one sometime this year.

I think its more interesting what will happen with wii u and xbone. Microsoft had a brilliant fight back to get back in the game but Nintendo seems to have given up on wii u. Those numbers are less easy to predict.

My prediction for 2015 year end is;

PS4 39m
Xbone 22m
Wii u 13m

Despite being a wii u owner myself I just can't see the wii u doing well this year. I'm only expecting to make 2-3 purchases for it myself and now with a complete lack of third party major titles I just don't see many buying it. It desperately needs a re-designed controller but not sure Nintendo will invest in it as the underlying console hardware is so weak and that won't restore third party support.

I think wii u will get even more marginalized this year with more retailers not stocking it. I think Nintendo have left it too late to fight back and will be forced into more aggressive pricing this year just to keep sales ticking over at low levels.

Microsoft will continue to offer exclusive titles in a console close to ps4 performance and do well in distant 2nd place but I feel as more aggressive pricing comes in European sales will recover.


one thing NIntendo never does that quickly is lower prices. why would they act desperately when it will likely make no difference? people will buy the system or they won't, a little price change is not going to be some big game changer. the reality is Nintendo makes money even with little console sales so for them (since they are economically driven) it doesn't matter that much if they don't have a huge chunk of the market share. they can regain it next generation



junglenut on 13 January 2015

im going with 35m +/- 3m



theprof00 on 13 January 2015

This is exactly my prediction but with slightly different numbers...
thanks turkish!



-Ack!- on 14 January 2015

Everything else seems legit but the price cut, 349.99 is more likely.



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Turkish on 31 July 2015

Still on track.



Turkish on 29 October 2015

Still on track!



Roronaa_chan on 29 October 2015

It's not gonna happen.. At most it'll reach that number of shipments, not sold through.
BTW they are predicting the yearly shipment total to be 17.5M which puts total shipments around 37MM. So the sell in will be close to that number but not quite.



xl-klaudkil on 29 October 2015
Roronaa_chan said:
It's not gonna happen.. At most it'll reach that number of shipments, not sold through.
BTW they are predicting the yearly shipment total to be 17.5M which puts total shipments around 37MM. So the sell in will be close to that number but not quite.


It still is an amazing amount of consoles for a industry that should be " dead"  hahahah



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

Teeqoz on 29 October 2015
John2290 said:
34m shipped. 31.5M sold.


If you think through that, that means you think it'll ship only 700k more in the holiday quarter than the july-sep quarter. You wanna revise that prediction?