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Forums - Sales - Global Hardware Up 13 December 2014

thismeintiel said:
kowenicki said:

Toasty strikes again.

Very, very accurate prediction.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=190991&page=1#

 

Currently almost exactly 1.2:1 for the period from the 1st November week to date.

I'd wait for WW adjustments come Jan/Feb before claiming toastboy is accurate.  My guess is the PS4 has quite a bit of undertracking in EU/ROW.  Makes you look a little silly trumpeting his predictions, regardless.


still has 3 weeks of data left in that prediction i would say it will go up to 1.32.1 with are current numbers by yrs end and could go to 1.5.1 depending on PS4 row

regardless it hasnt pulled similar numbers barring BF week and didnt pull ahead even though they did cut 50 and in some cases more than 50

unless he was talking bout us only but i doubt that as he brings up russia and china

 

xb1 did have a good holiday season in US and i feel that it did result in lowering ps4 potential US sales but they did go all out by cuting the price twice and 2 game bundles if they stayed at 400 or even 350 sales wouldnt of been ahead close in US

if MS dont stay at 350 come next yr its going to be a bloodbath in US let alone WW stating that the price is only temporary is only hurting aswell as potential future next gen buyers jumped on early just for the deal they need 350 come 1/4/15



                                                             

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kowenicki said:
tbone51 said:
kowenicki said:

Toasty strikes again.

Very, very accurate prediction.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=190991&page=1#

 

Currently almost exactly 1.2:1 for the period from the 1st November week to date.


Having 1 out of 50 predictions right inst impressive. (or accurate)

I didn't say it was impressive.  But this predition is very accurate.

Not sure why it seems to offend so many people.


Its not about offending people, its more about an accurate prediction from someone whos prediction rate is under 5% :0



tbone51 said:
kowenicki said:

Toasty strikes again.

Very, very accurate prediction.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=190991&page=1#

 

Currently almost exactly 1.2:1 for the period from the 1st November week to date.


Having 1 out of 50 predictions right inst impressive. (or accurate)

The other issue is that the prediction is accurate as of Dec. 13. Will it hold for the rest of the month? Not to mention, are VGC's numbers even accurate?



It is that time of the year were ps3 lost marketshare to x360 and seems ps4 lose gap growth against x1. But then come february and numbers are corrected but everybody have moved on.

Walking towards 1M undertrack. How much undertrack will only depend on how long sony holds the next Pr.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

PS4 only outselling X1 by 230k in one of the busiest weeks of the year.

Sony, what happened?



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Something looks off with Xb one in USA. If the ACU bundles is virtually the only xb one sku available in the USA then shouldn't ACU sales be very close to Xb one or possibly above xb one, rather than being less than half? So far it looks like the price cut and bundling will put xb one about 2-2.5 million ahead of my prediction before any price cut was announced.

Wii U can't catch a break. Highest selling software for a home console for the week, but still can't even sell 1/3 of PS4.

Very nice numbers for Ps4. If we only count 2 more full weeks of December left then PS4 has no chance of hitting 20 million. But if we give it the new year week as well is it in with a chance. PS4 already 300k ahead of my max year end prediction and will blow past most of the most optimistic predictions of 18 million with a week to spare.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

tbone51 said:
kowenicki said:
tbone51 said:


Having 1 out of 50 predictions right inst impressive. (or accurate)

I didn't say it was impressive.  But this predition is very accurate.

Not sure why it seems to offend so many people.


Its not about offending people, its more about an accurate prediction from someone whos prediction rate is under 5% :0


Even more disturbing is why bring this once in a lifetime (before inevitable adjustments) correct prediction in the first placa, while he isn't there in the wrong predictions saying how off he was.... Maybe he is sorri for the ones that didn't work out, or really sad that x1 is bellow ps4.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

PS4 is numero uno
Worldwide 4 Ever. China is coming and specially next year/pricecut



Did anyone export N.A sales(USA excluded)?32k xb1 vs 25k ps4!This is one week of a lot that vgc has ps4 below xb1 there...!Yeah,I imply that I would expect the opposite...!



kowenicki said:
tbone51 said:
kowenicki said:

 


Having 1 out of 50 predictions right inst impressive. (or accurate)

I didn't say it was impressive.  But this predition is very accurate.

Not sure why it seems to offend so many people.

But this week's ratio is over 1.4:1so that suggest the holiday ratio will be higher than 1.2:1 when the year is up. Toast's prediction that the ratio would be closer that how it's been all the rest of the year is right, but his 1.2:1 prediction is likely to be wrong.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix