Correction, someone pointed out to me VGChartz current figures are also overtracked for the 360 and undertracked for the PS3 for the year 2007 if taking NPD's figures (I thought this was corrected, I remember it was to some extend), this accounts for another ~234K of difference. Meaning the above figure should be closer to 6.23 million and may in reality be well below 6 million worth of difference if my European assumption is correct.

What topping, AoA?

OT: I'm going out for lasagna and breadsticks. Any takers? Mucho gracias ... 

@ Fastrabbit09

I think the 360 will sell considerably less this year than last year (European shipments for 2007 was already lower than for 2006), I think the PS3 will royally beat last year's figures. 6 million worth of difference would translate into 136K worth of difference per week on average. I truly think the PS3 will crush the 360 for November / December 2008 worldwide. I think it's doable, considering factors mentioned earlier within this thread.

well so far 360 is selling 11.5% more than last year, which is a pretty nice increase

why will it suddenly turn to selling less when it's selling more during slower parts of the year?

even still, each MILLION you take away from 360 sales is only 22.7k/week over 44 week

so if you somehow predict 360 to drop TWENTY PERCENT and only do 4mil, then you still have to do 230-255k/week, so still have to more than double last year's sales for ps3

no matter how u spin the 360, u still need to SEVERELY INCREASE ps3 sales

@madskillz
I'm in, and I'll buy the drinks....

oh shit, i just realized; i was using the threads in this forum that have weekly sales numbers for each console

the problem was that it runs nov-oct, not jan-dec

so that 5 million 360s is not for the rest of the year, but only until october

so 360 projects to sell 5 million + holiday numbers, or more like 8 million

so ps3 needs more like 14-15 million more sales...3 million 360 holiday sales would mean 70k more ps3 sales/week needed, so we are looking at 320k+ average for ps3

in other words, ps3 has to TRIPLE the previous year's sales this year to catch up

again, it is NOT happening...the data just doesn't back up that prediction

u seriously believe the ps3 will sell 14+ million more in march->december?

that is 318k/week average

If you stop by a Wendy's I'll have a junior bacon cheeseburger w/ Ice Tea please!

Compared to the sales before the European launch last year, PS3 is now selling not just double but triple figures.

http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=0&id=19099

And given the poor sales last year, it will not be hard to surpass the figures in upcoming months, too. I think it is not unreasonable to expect ww sales of PS3 to climb to 200K+ and remain there for the rest of the year with big titles coming out. After June the weekly sales might even hit 300K+.

Still, it will be a close call. I would not bet PS3 passing 360 before the release of the first AAA exclusive in 2009.

@ Fastrabbit09

On the 23rd of March the PS3 will have been available for 1 year worlwide including for Europe, Sony will come out with a report later this month and we can judge how close they have come to their target figure of 11 million units sold to retail for the year without any of the major PS2 blockbusters yet available for the PS3 (sequels). Maybe they will provide a new target figure and I expect this to be much higher due the factors mentioned above.

sony won't come close to the 11mil for the fiscal year...and that's sold to retailer, not consumer

we are talking sold to consumer in this discussion

@sal, yes ps3 didn't have euro the first few months, but then they also had a euro launch which was instant huge sales for them (586k in one week) which compensates for that

when this year's march 24th/22nd week comes along, the ps3 will be over 400k below last year's number for that week, pretty much negating most of the increase they have built in the post-holiday season


again, they have to average 320k/week this year to catch up...