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Forums - Gaming - Xbox One sales in 2015?

 

How much will the Xbox One sell WW in January 2015?

Less than 200k 56 38.36%
 
200k - 400k 39 26.71%
 
400k - 600k 22 15.07%
 
600k - 800k 10 6.85%
 
More than 800k 17 11.64%
 
Total:144
ethomaz on 13 November 2014

soony_xbone_U said:

No way this will happen unless many people will return theire consoles bought for Christmas. That would result in negative sales for the January tracking period. 
0,1% Chance for this to come true, because scalper would not take the risk to buy Xbox Ones in the second year Christmas. So the return rate will be normal. Also the Xbox One is a solid product if we talk about issues and manufacturing quality. No big returns because of hardware failure.

 

Just as a question. You are not really 100% serious about this, or? Otherwise i would like to know the reasons for that weired assumption.

It is how January is for Xbone (or 360)...

It dropped from 909k to 140k last year NPD... it will have a even bigger drop this year and MS didn't have nothing until July (or June).

BTW what return consoles have to do with that?



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kitler53 on 13 November 2014
soony_xbone_U said:
ethomaz said:

I believe January will have a drop bigger than last year.

Expect one of the lowest NPDs January ever (excluding Wii U).

Something around 100k... that means less than 200k WW.


No way this will happen unless many people will return theire consoles bought for Christmas. That would result in negative sales for the January tracking period.
0,1% Chance for this to come true, because scalper would not take the risk to buy Xbox Ones in the second year Christmas. So the return rate will be normal. Also the Xbox One is a solid product if we talk about issues and manufacturing quality. No big returns because of hardware failure.

 

Just as a question. You are not really 100% serious about this, or? Otherwise i would like to know the reasons for that weired assumption.


it's not about returns.  it's about holiday shippments stuffing retail channels.



Fusioncode on 13 November 2014
walsufnir said:
I guess we will see a repition of the 360 sales. Not good, not bad during the year, comes holiday sales will see a huge spike.
There were many threads last gen which concluded a PS3 massive lead because of sales throughout the year but 360 had its highest sales towards the end of the year and so won back a lot of what PS3 gained in lead.

PS4 is not the PS3 and XBO is not the 360. Kind of a silly theory. 



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

soony_xbone_U on 13 November 2014
ethomaz said:

soony_xbone_U said:

No way this will happen unless many people will return theire consoles bought for Christmas. That would result in negative sales for the January tracking period. 
0,1% Chance for this to come true, because scalper would not take the risk to buy Xbox Ones in the second year Christmas. So the return rate will be normal. Also the Xbox One is a solid product if we talk about issues and manufacturing quality. No big returns because of hardware failure.

 

Just as a question. You are not really 100% serious about this, or? Otherwise i would like to know the reasons for that weired assumption.

It is how January is for Xbone...

It dropped from 909k to 140k last year NPD... it will have a even bigger drop this year and MS didn't have nothing until July (or June).

In general every console is doing some YoY grow. So thats the first thing that has to happen. Fail YoY grow with all the new positive momentum.
Second is this one: The XBOX One will probably have a bigger December this year, than last year. Thats a given imho, because of the new pricepoint and at least one big exclusive that totally fits the us taste.

So the percentage drop has to be way bigger to result in the same 140k figure. But u thik it will not only to be flat. U assume it will delcine even on a hard number base. That's ridicolous

 

Some math crunch:

909K  December 2013
140K January 2014

84,5% drop

same sales  Decmber 2014
110K January 2015 (would be a 11,5% YoY decline)

87% drop

20% better sales December 2014
110k January 2015

90% drop

50% better sales December 2014
110k January 2015

92% drop

 

worst ever happend:

460k WiiU December 2012
57k WiiU January 2013

95% drop

 

 

So u predict some kind of WiiU fist January drop. Thats laughable to be honest, but not offensive. We know why that happend, as i told u the reason in my fist post. This won't happen. No chance. I really hope ur not serious on that...

 

 

kitler53 said:
soony_xbone_U said:
ethomaz said:

I believe January will have a drop bigger than last year.

Expect one of the lowest NPDs January ever (excluding Wii U).

Something around 100k... that means less than 200k WW.


No way this will happen unless many people will return theire consoles bought for Christmas. That would result in negative sales for the January tracking period.
0,1% Chance for this to come true, because scalper would not take the risk to buy Xbox Ones in the second year Christmas. So the return rate will be normal. Also the Xbox One is a solid product if we talk about issues and manufacturing quality. No big returns because of hardware failure.

 

Just as a question. You are not really 100% serious about this, or? Otherwise i would like to know the reasons for that weired assumption.


it's not about returns.  it's about holiday shippments stuffing retail channels.

What has holiday shippments stuffing to do with January sales tracked by NPD?



walsufnir on 13 November 2014
Fusioncode said:
walsufnir said:
I guess we will see a repition of the 360 sales. Not good, not bad during the year, comes holiday sales will see a huge spike.
There were many threads last gen which concluded a PS3 massive lead because of sales throughout the year but 360 had its highest sales towards the end of the year and so won back a lot of what PS3 gained in lead.

PS4 is not the PS3 and XBO is not the 360. Kind of a silly theory. 


Again and especially for you, I know that. I just wanted to present a picture of the graph so that people understand that Xbox 360 had its highest sales towards the end of the year and I believe this will happen for Xbone, too. The second paragraph was only for people who know how sales worked last gen and how I think it will this gen.

Again, and especially again for you, I am not saying that, god forbid, the Xbone will close the gap to the PS4 because of this.



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Fusioncode on 13 November 2014
walsufnir said:
Fusioncode said:
walsufnir said:
I guess we will see a repition of the 360 sales. Not good, not bad during the year, comes holiday sales will see a huge spike.
There were many threads last gen which concluded a PS3 massive lead because of sales throughout the year but 360 had its highest sales towards the end of the year and so won back a lot of what PS3 gained in lead.

PS4 is not the PS3 and XBO is not the 360. Kind of a silly theory. 


Again and especially for you, I know that. I just wanted to present a picture of the graph so that people understand that Xbox 360 had its highest sales towards the end of the year and I believe this will happen for Xbone, too. The second paragraph was only for people who know how sales worked last gen and how I think it will this gen.

Again, and especially again for you, I am not saying that, god forbid, the Xbone will close the gap to the PS4 because of this.

Calm down friend. You don't need to take every response as a personal attack. I see no reason why trends from last gen will continue this gen with two completely different consoles. 



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

walsufnir on 13 November 2014
Fusioncode said:
walsufnir said:
Fusioncode said:
walsufnir said:
I guess we will see a repition of the 360 sales. Not good, not bad during the year, comes holiday sales will see a huge spike.
There were many threads last gen which concluded a PS3 massive lead because of sales throughout the year but 360 had its highest sales towards the end of the year and so won back a lot of what PS3 gained in lead.

PS4 is not the PS3 and XBO is not the 360. Kind of a silly theory. 


Again and especially for you, I know that. I just wanted to present a picture of the graph so that people understand that Xbox 360 had its highest sales towards the end of the year and I believe this will happen for Xbone, too. The second paragraph was only for people who know how sales worked last gen and how I think it will this gen.

Again, and especially again for you, I am not saying that, god forbid, the Xbone will close the gap to the PS4 because of this.

Calm down friend. You don't need to take every response as a personal attack. I see no reason why trends from last gen will continue this gen with two completely different consoles. 


But we are seeing it again this year. Throughout the year sales for Xbone are okayish and at the end of the year MS goes all in with crazy deals and bundles. Don't you remember how it was last gen? Black Friday deals with 360? This is what I am talking about, not closing the gap or anything like that.



BeElite on 13 November 2014
walsufnir said:


But we are seeing it again this year. Throughout the year sales for Xbone are okayish and at the end of the year MS goes all in with crazy deals and bundles. Don't you remember how it was last gen? Black Friday deals with 360? This is what I am talking about, not closing the gap or anything like that.


X1 is not the 360 as some said, 360 was near half the PS3 price at a point.  It was easy to have awesome BF bundles that sold crazy amounts in the face of much more expensive competition..  X1 lacks the price to achieve such great sales when the two are so close in price.  X1 will never achice such a sales ratio advantage the 360 did, it will never do same sales numbers as 360.  It probably will sell less then PS4 BF, MS lost the wallmart crowd with the X1s price tag.