ethomaz said:
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soony_xbone_U said:
No way this will happen unless many people will return theire consoles bought for Christmas. That would result in negative sales for the January tracking period.
0,1% Chance for this to come true, because scalper would not take the risk to buy Xbox Ones in the second year Christmas. So the return rate will be normal. Also the Xbox One is a solid product if we talk about issues and manufacturing quality. No big returns because of hardware failure.
Just as a question. You are not really 100% serious about this, or? Otherwise i would like to know the reasons for that weired assumption.
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It is how January is for Xbone...
It dropped from 909k to 140k last year NPD... it will have a even bigger drop this year and MS didn't have nothing until July (or June).
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In general every console is doing some YoY grow. So thats the first thing that has to happen. Fail YoY grow with all the new positive momentum.
Second is this one: The XBOX One will probably have a bigger December this year, than last year. Thats a given imho, because of the new pricepoint and at least one big exclusive that totally fits the us taste.
So the percentage drop has to be way bigger to result in the same 140k figure. But u thik it will not only to be flat. U assume it will delcine even on a hard number base. That's ridicolous
Some math crunch:
909K December 2013
140K January 2014
84,5% drop
same sales Decmber 2014
110K January 2015 (would be a 11,5% YoY decline)
87% drop
20% better sales December 2014
110k January 2015
90% drop
50% better sales December 2014
110k January 2015
92% drop
worst ever happend:
460k WiiU December 2012
57k WiiU January 2013
95% drop
So u predict some kind of WiiU fist January drop. Thats laughable to be honest, but not offensive. We know why that happend, as i told u the reason in my fist post. This won't happen. No chance. I really hope ur not serious on that...
kitler53 said:
soony_xbone_U said:
ethomaz said:
I believe January will have a drop bigger than last year.
Expect one of the lowest NPDs January ever (excluding Wii U).
Something around 100k... that means less than 200k WW.
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No way this will happen unless many people will return theire consoles bought for Christmas. That would result in negative sales for the January tracking period.
0,1% Chance for this to come true, because scalper would not take the risk to buy Xbox Ones in the second year Christmas. So the return rate will be normal. Also the Xbox One is a solid product if we talk about issues and manufacturing quality. No big returns because of hardware failure.
Just as a question. You are not really 100% serious about this, or? Otherwise i would like to know the reasons for that weired assumption.
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it's not about returns. it's about holiday shippments stuffing retail channels.
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What has holiday shippments stuffing to do with January sales tracked by NPD?
