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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4/XONE sales by Dec 31, 2014 (Quick Basic Math Edition)

 

What do you think will definetely happen?

PS4 [20M] & XONE [10M] by Dec 31, 2014 9 4.92%
 
PS4 [20M] & XONE [9M] by Dec 31, 2014 15 8.20%
 
PS4 [20M] & XONE [8M] by Dec 31, 2014 34 18.58%
 
PS4 [19M] & XONE [10M] by Dec 31, 2014 6 3.28%
 
PS4 [19M] & XONE [9M] by Dec 31, 2014 16 8.74%
 
PS4 [19M] & XONE [8M] by Dec 31, 2014 5 2.73%
 
PS4 [18M] & XONE [10M] by Dec 31, 2014 21 11.48%
 
PS4 [18M] & XONE [9M] by Dec 31, 2014 31 16.94%
 
PS4 [18M] & XONE [8M] by Dec 31, 2014 29 15.85%
 
None of the above. 17 9.29%
 
Total:183
Namiirei on 25 October 2014

less than 8.5 millions for the one, more than 18.5 for ps4 probably.

And for WiiU, i don't really know, it will depend on japan sales mostly.



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Sentient_Nebula on 25 October 2014

Around 17 million for PS4 and 9 million for Xbox One seems reasonable.



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Puppyroach on 25 October 2014

My guess is 20mn PS4 and 12 MN X1, but that is shipped numbers :).



Mercenary on 26 October 2014

Xboner sell november 600k and december 700K

Ps4 sell november 2mil and december 3mil

WiiU sell november 500k and december 1.5 mil



Jabbamk1 on 26 October 2014

This is a prediciton I made back in January 2014 after we heard about Q4 2013 numbers.

It's been pretty on point so far. And just to clarify, I am talking about shipped numbers here. Hence the 3.9m for X1 in Q4 2013. For PS4 I took the 4.2m number and started with that as we don't have a shipped figure for the PS4. 



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Madword on 26 October 2014
Sentient_Nebula said:

Around 17 million for PS4 and 9 million for Xbox One seems reasonable.

So you are expecing the XBO to outsell the PS4 this Xmas by around 1m... interesting. I dont see it..

I think it will be

PS4 = 17m

XBO= 8m



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freedquaker on 26 October 2014
Imnus said:

So, consoles usually sell around 50% of their annual total on the holidays. So I did some very simple math to see what can we expect:

PS4
4M by Dec 31, 2013
12M by Sep 31, 2014

8M Jan -> Sep 2014
8M Sep -> Dec 2014
16M - 2014 (Total)

20M - Total by Dec 31, 2014


XONE
3M by Dec 31, 2013
6M by Sep 31, 2014

3M Jan -> Sep 2014
3M Sep -> Dec 2014
6M - 2014 (Total)

9M - Total by Dec 31, 2014


Now my actual predictions are around 18M for the PS4 and 10M for the XONE by 31 Dec 2014. Why? Because XONE sales rely more heavily on the NA market where holiday sales grow the most.

Does not look far off from my own predictions...

 

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=187926



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates

freedquaker on 26 October 2014
Jabbamk1 said:

This is a prediciton I made back in January 2014 after we heard about Q4 2013 numbers.

It's been pretty on point so far. And just to clarify, I am talking about shipped numbers here. Hence the 3.9m for X1 in Q4 2013. For PS4 I took the 4.2m number and started with that as we don't have a shipped figure for the PS4. 


I am comparing this with my predictions : http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=187926

Obviously you are in line with PS4 but over estimating for XB1. We all know XB1 has sold around 6 million by the end of 3rd quarter, and you are over estimating by 2 million (33% above!)

As you'll see my estimates put XB1 beween 8-9 million by the year end, more in lines with the current actual sales now (around 6 million).



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates

Jabbamk1 on 26 October 2014
freedquaker said:
Jabbamk1 said:

This is a prediciton I made back in January 2014 after we heard about Q4 2013 numbers.

It's been pretty on point so far. And just to clarify, I am talking about shipped numbers here. Hence the 3.9m for X1 in Q4 2013. For PS4 I took the 4.2m number and started with that as we don't have a shipped figure for the PS4. 


I am comparing this with my predictions : http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=187926

Obviously you are in line with PS4 but over estimating for XB1. We all know XB1 has sold around 6 million by the end of 3rd quarter, and you are over estimating by 2 million (33% above!)

As you'll see my estimates put XB1 beween 8-9 million by the year end, more in lines with the current actual sales now (around 6 million).


I'm estimating shipped figures. Not sold through. 

It's estimated that Xbox One has shipped ~7.4m so I'm close with the 8 million.

I'd put PS4 at 12.5m shipped like it says above. 



freedquaker on 26 October 2014
Jabbamk1 said:
freedquaker said:
Jabbamk1 said:

This is a prediciton I made back in January 2014 after we heard about Q4 2013 numbers.

It's been pretty on point so far. And just to clarify, I am talking about shipped numbers here. Hence the 3.9m for X1 in Q4 2013. For PS4 I took the 4.2m number and started with that as we don't have a shipped figure for the PS4. 


I am comparing this with my predictions : http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=187926

Obviously you are in line with PS4 but over estimating for XB1. We all know XB1 has sold around 6 million by the end of 3rd quarter, and you are over estimating by 2 million (33% above!)

As you'll see my estimates put XB1 beween 8-9 million by the year end, more in lines with the current actual sales now (around 6 million).


I'm estimating shipped figures. Not sold through. 

It's estimated that Xbox One has shipped ~7.4m so I'm close with the 8 million.

I'd put PS4 at 12.5m shipped like it says above. 

My bad, it seems reasonable then. Also note that tracking the shipment with some error margin may be a good idea as well but in the early years, it may lead to misleading figures due to skewed ratios. For example 6 vs 12 sold looks very bad while 8 vs 12.5 shipped looks much better for XB1



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates