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Forums - Gaming - When PS4 will outsell 3DS?

 

When PS4 will outsell 3DS?

Next year ( o_O ) 20 4.33%
 
2016 57 12.34%
 
2017 106 22.94%
 
2018 66 14.29%
 
2019 20 4.33%
 
2020 14 3.03%
 
after 2020 9 1.95%
 
never 170 36.80%
 
Total:462
Michael-5 on 13 October 2014

2020 - 3DS has at least 2 more prime years in it, should end around 85 million or so in 2018 IMO. I think PS4 needs 5 more years to break 85 million (3DS will be replaced before PS4 beats it).



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ironmanDX on 13 October 2014

2019



ironmanDX on 13 October 2014
FATALITY said:
see u guys in 2 years or less


2 years or less.... So, they just discontinue the 3DS from here and still the PS4 would have to sell more than 15 million a year.... 

 

 

 

Hmm, no.



jonathanalis on 13 October 2014

it depends how long time will ps4 last.
And also new3DS.

with n3ds, 3DS will live more than most thougth. but the trend is to diminish due smarts and tablets.

in other hand, xbox one failure to compete with ps4 will force MS to bring its sucessor earlier than for example 7th gen. So, sony maybe can bring ps5 earlier than ps4 could live, to compete with new xbox. but it would still sell rather well (but of course less) even after ps5 launch.

so, it will pass, but wil take more time. 2020?



platformmaster918 on 13 October 2014
ironmanDX said:
FATALITY said:
see u guys in 2 years or less


2 years or less.... So, they just discontinue the 3DS from here and still the PS4 would have to sell more than 15 million a year.... 

 

 

 

Hmm, no.

obviously PS4 will sell more than 15 next year and the year after.  It should reach 13m this year and that's just it's first full year which always is the smallest (PS3 did under 8m).  That being said, I agree it won't pass 3ds that soon as that would require a severe fall off in 3ds sales which the new model should offset despite most of the big releases already being out for it.




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Aerys on 13 October 2014
tbone51 said:
Aerys said:
Fusioncode said:
I can't understand why anybody would think the PS4 has no chance to pass the 3DS. Should happen in 2017.


This, it's not even sure 3DS can reach 70M, it's tracking behind GBA so it's unlikely for now unless new 3DS is the big savior and not just a bump in sales for a while.

 

About PS4, it's obvious that the console will at least reach 100M in such domination position.


It doesn't matter how its tracking under the GBA, its a matter of multiple things, that said i think the 3ds if it had a successor in early 2016, then 57mil - 60mil look like a good lifetime for it, but im sure it'll get close to that 70mil now or maybe even surpass it.

 

As for ps4, its not obvious its going to hit at least 100mil (though i believe it will), nothing is guaranteed in the long run which has been proven countless times :0


Unless the market considerably shrinks or unless Sony dies, there is no reason why the PS4 wouldnt  reach at the very least 100M

PS1 did, PS2 did, the dominative playstations always do , and the real domination hasnt even started yet, 2015 will be the real beginning of that.



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

benao87 on 13 October 2014
Aerys said:
Fusioncode said:
I can't understand why anybody would think the PS4 has no chance to pass the 3DS. Should happen in 2017.


This, it's not even sure 3DS can reach 70M, it's tracking behind GBA so it's unlikely for now unless new 3DS is the big savior and not just a bump in sales for a while.

 

About PS4, it's obvious that the console will at least reach 100M in such domination position.

Uh, I'll take that bet, PS4 won't reach 100m.

 

OT: Uhm, well I'll say late 2018, early 2019. 3DS will manage to do ~65m by mid 2018, in those 3.5 years PS4 should do those ~50m.  



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archbrix on 13 October 2014
JWeinCom said:
bubblegamer said:
TheLegendaryWolf said:
bubblegamer said:
Soon.

Right, PS4 will sell 30 million units more by the end of the year...

That chance of that happening is bigger than ''never''


So... there is where you said the chances of the PS4 selling 30 million units more by the end of the year is more likely than it not outselling the 3DS.

Perhaps he suffers from Lacunar Amnesia?



bubblegamer on 13 October 2014
archbrix said:

Perhaps he suffers from Lacunar Amnesia?

Whatever you like to belive. I see it more as entertainment. Soon is more weird than Never, go figure.



archbrix on 13 October 2014
bubblegamer said:
archbrix said:

Perhaps he suffers from Lacunar Amnesia?

Whatever you like to belive. I see it more as entertainment. Soon is more weird than Never, go figure.

We're not taking issue with "soon" vs "never".  It's the fact that you think the possibility of PS4 selling 30m units more this year is more likely than "never", as JWein pointed out. 

Personally, I think the PS4 will pass the 3DS as well, but there is still a modicum of a chance that several things could transpire that may prevent that, even if extremely unlikely.  The PS4 selling 30m units more by the end of the year is downright impossible on several levels.