Will New Super Mario Bros U outsell Mario Galaxy 2?

Jizz_Beard_thePirate

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Jizz_Beard_thePirate on 12 October 2014

Maybe but it depends on the install base and when its released

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fatslob-:O on 12 October 2014

tbone51 said:

lets ignore Holiday right? And legs that wont stop for at least another 3-4 years :)

Holiday boosts are just temporary and you'll need more than that to help a two year old game ...

NSMBU legs are dead in the tracks as far as anyone's concerned. This game will have suffered a drop of over 60% decline compared to last year's sales and the same will hold true for next year's game sales.

This game will be very lucky to reach 5 million units by the end of next year ...

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curl-6 on 12 October 2014

tbone51 said:

fatslob-:O said:
With game selling sub-10K units weekly, it'll never happen at this rate.

By next year I expect the game to sell less than 5000 units weekly which further diminishes the game's chance at outselling SMG2 ...

lets ignore Holiday right? And legs that wont stop for at least another 3-4 years :)

Not to mention its still widely bundled.

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tbone51 on 12 October 2014

fatslob-:O said:

tbone51 said:

lets ignore Holiday right? And legs that wont stop for at least another 3-4 years :)

Holiday boosts are just temporary and you'll need more than that to help a two year old game ...

NSMBU legs are dead in the tracks as far as anyone's concerned. This game will have suffered a drop of over 60% decline compared to last year's sales and the same will hold true for next year's game sales.

This game will be very lucky to reach 5 million units by the end of next year ...

No it doesnt hold true like at all. Look up alot of the nintendo game sales with 3-5 years. It'll show several years have just close sales as the last. 5mil will hit 100% next year.

Ok lets look at sales...

2012 1,285,059

2013 2,222,404

2014 704,407 (this will no doubt be over 1.1mil by years end

Total 4,211,870 (so thats 4.6mil)

My prediction

2015: 750k

2016: 550k

2017: 500k

2018: 300k

Over 6.7mil :0

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fatslob-:O on 12 October 2014

curl-6 said:

Not to mention its still widely bundled.

That's stretching it when it's clear that the current weekly ratio is 7:1 between the console and game sales ...

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curl-6 on 12 October 2014

fatslob-:O said:

curl-6 said:

Not to mention its still widely bundled.

That's stretching it when it's clear that the current weekly ratio is 7:1 between the console and game sales ...

Not Wii Sports widely, but still more than a lot of bundles.

Nearly 2/3 of Wii U owners have NSMBU.

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fatslob-:O on 12 October 2014

tbone51 said:

No it doesnt hold true like at all. Look up alot of the nintendo game sales with 3-5 years. It'll show several years have just close sales as the last. 5mil will hit 100% next year.

Ok lets look at sales...

2012 1,285,059

2013 2,222,404

2014 704,407 (this will no doubt be over 1.1mil by years end

Total 4,211,870 (so thats 4.6mil)

My prediction

2015: 750k

2016: 550k

2017: 500k

2018: 300k

Over 6.7mil :0

@Bold Really ? How do you explain this year's massive decline for games such as Nintendo Land, NSLU, WII party U and Pikmin 3 ? Using last generation data to extrapolate this generation's game sales curve for the WII U doesn't make your case any convincing ...

You expect me to believe that NSMBU will move 400 000 more units before the end of the year ?!

Try 200K for the rest of the year ...

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tbone51 on 12 October 2014

fatslob-:O said:

tbone51 said:

No it doesnt hold true like at all. Look up alot of the nintendo game sales with 3-5 years. It'll show several years have just close sales as the last. 5mil will hit 100% next year.

Ok lets look at sales...

2012 1,285,059

2013 2,222,404

2014 704,407 (this will no doubt be over 1.1mil by years end

Total 4,211,870 (so thats 4.6mil)

My prediction

2015: 750k

2016: 550k

2017: 500k

2018: 300k

Over 6.7mil :0

@Bold Really ? How do you explain this year's massive decline for games such as Nintendo Land, NSLU, WII party U and Pikmin 3 ? Using last generation data to extrapolate this generation's game sales curve for the WII U doesn't make your case any convincing ...

You expect me to believe that NSMBU will move 400 000 more units before the end of the year ?!

Try 200K for the rest of the year ...

Nintendo Land, NSLU, WII party U and Pikmin 3 =/= NSMBU bro, look at lst gen sales and see how legs stay great throughout a console life cycle.

Also, yes at bold most certainly actually.Only way is if a new 2D mario comes out but i doubt that!