I think people are underestimating Mario Maker, it's easily the most marketable of the bunch, I can already see the TV commercial with sprite Mario and then a human hand changing the environment around him "Finally, you can make and share your own Mario levels, only in Mario Maker", that's a concept anyone can understand.
I think Mario Maker will actually be the Wii U's best selling game in Japan and Europe next year, yes even above Zelda (and before you scoff, go actually look at Skyward Sword's sales in Japan/Europe).
Plus I think they could very well add Amiibo support to it (get sprite Kid Icarus, Samus, Link, etc. into the game?) and maybe they can cash in on some of that Minecraft hype of custom world building.
Splatoon I think will sell in line with Pikmin 3 and Yoshi will sell in line with DKC: TF. I actually wouldn't be terribly surprised if Mario Maker outsells both combined. If Nintendo is smart they will launch Splatoon alongside an animated TV series and amiibo toys/general merchandise to get its name out there more.