We know Sony's CEO said they are pursuing marketshare and total HW sold more than profit at this moment... so a pricecut is certain and it will come whenever they are sure that let's say 350 pricepoint won't make the console have stock shortages... no use in having more demand if you can't meet it, that is the main reason I think Sony didn't tried any pricedrop or even SW bundle for free, because they are basically selling in the expectancy for having all stock fly until the end of the year.

Home consoles have not sold well in japan cause there are no japan centric games. thats the real problem with japan. I strongly believe that bloodborn, MGs5, persona 5, FF15 and yakuza will change all that. In just two years japan will be getting more AAA japan centric games on the PS4 than they did for the first 5 years of the PS3.

And all sony has to do in japan for next year is get up to 3M in sales, or even 2M for that region to be relevant again.

You should also note that the Wii sold very well in japan, and the PS3 cost $600. I believe that the japs will flock to the PS4 when its at $300 and have at least 2/3 really good games worth playing.

nintendo wont drop the price.
they will bundle amiibos and games with wii u, but will keep 299.
XBO will go to 349
ps4, i really dont know. it will still sell better than this year with 400$ price tag.

every home console will sell better than 2015 than 2014. 2015 will be the peak for wii U, but not for XBO and PS4.

i think those are safe bets.

I can agree. But what about the casuals with their mobile games? Wouldn't they have some effect on sales? Wii sales we're made out of "casuals" and i think a fair bit of PS3 sales we're too (Once the price-drop came into effect). Or was i under a rock for 7 years?

Its exactly cause of the casuals thats why i say all PS4 has to do is sell like 2-3M consoles in japan next year and every year after that. If the casuals were picking up home consoles then sony could be selling like 5-6M in japan like they were in the PS2 era. 2-3M puts them in PS3 era sales margins which speaking for japan is actually an accomplishment these days.

Splatoon will release to mixed reviews and sell ~220k.

And microsft has dropped the price of the XB1 to 329 pounds. Thats officially a total of 100pnds price drop in less than a year. Even their SO bundle is at the same price. So one of my predictions is slowly already happening :)

No way ps4 sale being that bad with all those big IP in 2015

There no reason to do a price cut when you dominate your competitor ,if they do a price cut now what they would do if sale slow down a lot

The whole "dominating the competition" thing is just website fanwar banter. Thats not really what matters to them. What matters to them is market share and market growth. It just so happens to be that if your competitor is selling much better than you then it means there are potentially fewer people to buy your own console. 

For sony, if a price drop can increase sales from 500k/month to say 650k/month, and they can meet that demand, then they would do it. Cause for them its better having as many people possible owning their console as quickly as possible than just outselling the competition. Thats where the real money is at.

Ps4 market share is already so good