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Forums - Sony - My "John Lucas" prediction for the PlayStation 3!!

damkira said:
You're probably right. Things are really falling into place for Sony like I thought they never would. It will probably catch up sometime in the Fall, which is horrible considering the 360 had a year start. They must really be nervous at Microsoft. They need to have something pretty good up their sleeves if they ever hope to catch up.
WE HAVE A NEW WINNER!  Where's my "Crazy Predictions thread??"  Ah, here

Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
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DMeisterJ said:

Okay here is my prediction for the PlayStation 3. I'm not going to give you a laundry list of games or anything like that, just pure facts:

The PS3 has been outselling the XBOX 360 worldwide for the last twelve or thirteen weeks. The amount that it's outsold 360 by has increased from 5-10k/week, to now outselling it by ~50k per week. So here is my prediction. That by the end of the Summer, the PS3 will be outselling the XBOX 360 on a weekly basis by 80-120k/week, and WILL catch up to the XBOX 360 by the end of the year.


Assuming your prediction was accurate and possible, how long would it take for the Wii to catchup and overtake the Wii, assuming current trends continue until December for all systems.



I don't need your console war.
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor.
You're power hungry, spinnin' stories, and bein' graphics whores.
I don't need your console war.

NO NO, NO NO NO.

ZenfoldorVGI said:
DMeisterJ said:

Okay here is my prediction for the PlayStation 3. I'm not going to give you a laundry list of games or anything like that, just pure facts:

The PS3 has been outselling the XBOX 360 worldwide for the last twelve or thirteen weeks. The amount that it's outsold 360 by has increased from 5-10k/week, to now outselling it by ~50k per week. So here is my prediction. That by the end of the Summer, the PS3 will be outselling the XBOX 360 on a weekly basis by 80-120k/week, and WILL catch up to the XBOX 360 by the end of the year.


Assuming your prediction was accurate and possible, how long would it take for the Wii to catchup and overtake the Wii, assuming current trends continue until December for all systems.


I'm pretty sure that the Wii is about even with the Wii already.



I don't think you're giving the 360 enough credit. However, I don't think you're off by as much as some people believe. As my signature shows, I'm right with you on PS3 sales, but my 360 sales prediction is a bit higher.

The PS3 will overtake the 360 by July of '09.



My End of 2008 Hardware Predictions (console only):

Wii : 50 million

360: 28 million

PS3: 24 million

These predictions were made on January 3rd and won't be revised

LINK

Nice prediction. I still stand by my many ramblings that the PS3 won't catch the 360 THIS year. First half of 2009 is my guess.



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For the PS3 to pass the 360 it would need to sell 7 million more than the 360 over the next 43 weeks. So the sales would need to average about 162,790 more pep week than the 360 so even with your estimates of it being ahead by 80 to 120 thousand in the summer that still leaves it short. It would then need an amazing holiday with the 360 doing only so so. So it's possible just very very unlikely. I don't think it will happen until Fall of 09.



Wonktonodi - 45 weeks and 6.85 which would be 152k more per week.



That would be cool DmeisterJ. I want Ps3 to succeed as much as starcraft wants it to fail but I can't see that happening this year. I'll keep my fingers crossed though.

You winning that bet would be a grand finish for the end of this year.



Moneybags said:
That would be cool DmeisterJ. I want Ps3 to succeed as much as starcraft wants it to fail but I can't see that happening this year. I'll keep my fingers crossed though.

You winning that bet would be a grand finish for the end of this year.

For some reason, you have a serious issue with me huh?  When have I ever declared that I wish for the PS3 to fail?  Unlike many Sony Fanboys, who would gladly see the death of the Xbox 360, I wish for all three consoles to compete strongly so that when I own ALL THREE they will each continue to receive competitive exclusives.  

The inclusion of DualShock 3 with the console (which Sony said wouldn't happen just two months ago) brings me one step closer to the purchase of a PS3 (Assuming the same occurs in Australia).  All they need to do now is add BC and release some compelling exclusive content.  

When these things happen, I will purchase a PS3.  I think Sony's plummet from console top-dog to also-ran is good as it will show console makers they can't get cocky in the future, and must base their claim to sales on content and appropriate pricing.  Even once I have all three consoles, I will still hope for the PS3 and 360 to end up with similar sales with the Wii not to far in front, in order to preserve competition and ensure no company has the arrogant air going into the next generation that Sony had coming into this one. 



starcraft - Playing Games = FUN, Talking about Games = SERIOUS

starcraft said:
Moneybags said:
That would be cool DmeisterJ. I want Ps3 to succeed as much as starcraft wants it to fail but I can't see that happening this year. I'll keep my fingers crossed though.

You winning that bet would be a grand finish for the end of this year.

For some reason, you have a serious issue with me huh?  When have I ever declared that I wish for the PS3 to fail?  Unlike many Sony Fanboys, who would gladly see the death of the Xbox 360, I wish for all three consoles to compete strongly so that when I own ALL THREE they will each continue to receive competitive exclusives.  

The inclusion of DualShock 3 with the console (which Sony said wouldn't happen just two months ago) brings me one step closer to the purchase of a PS3 (Assuming the same occurs in Australia).  All they need to do now is add BC and release some compelling exclusive content.  

When these things happen, I will purchase a PS3.  I think Sony's plummet from console top-dog to also-ran is good as it will show console makers they can't get cocky in the future, and must base their claim to sales on content and appropriate pricing.  Even once I have all three consoles, I will still hope for the PS3 and 360 to end up with similar sales with the Wii not to far in front, in order to preserve competition and ensure no company has the arrogant air going into the next generation that Sony had coming into this one. 


You know I almost never bash the 360 or any of the good news about it. Quite frankly I don't post much in any of the topics pertaining to it. why? Becuase i'm not too interested in it. I could go from thread to thread right now and find your posts always putting a negative spin on positive ps3 news or trying to discredit any rumors of something good coming to ps3(remember the secret game?). You always do the opposite for 360 and do major damage control for it. You don't have to declare that you want ps3 to fail. I can just read your post and they make it more than obvious you don't seem like good ps3 news. I think others would agree with me to.