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I don't think you're giving the 360 enough credit. However, I don't think you're off by as much as some people believe. As my signature shows, I'm right with you on PS3 sales, but my 360 sales prediction is a bit higher.

The PS3 will overtake the 360 by July of '09.



My End of 2008 Hardware Predictions (console only):

Wii : 50 million

360: 28 million

PS3: 24 million

These predictions were made on January 3rd and won't be revised

LINK