outlawauron said:
Your prediction would give credit to the bolded viewpoint. |
that's why exactly I'm right about everything
| ryuzaki57 said: 25K Folks, it has 33 pts on COMG |
No way it does that poorly. Even in the worst possible case, it'll do 40-50k FW. That's still really bad, but I can't see it doing worse than that.
OfficerRaichu15 said:
no offense but are you high XD thats one bold prediction |
high as a bird... oh wait not that high.
I love being bold
| flagstaad said: True they usually sold well, but on a console that has an established audiciente for this kind of games, this title is actually a bet for both Nintendo and Tecmo, as they are trying to create an audience for the genre on the console by using a popular character, that way they could publish more titles on the future. The pre-order number are decent but not huge in any way and the install base of the console is also lower than the one of the PS3, which is usually the recepient of the Dinasty Warriors games. People are beign conservative, and anything bellow 50k is almost impossible at this point. The most important thing is how many hardware units can this game move, specially for long time Dinasty Warriors fans that usually don´t buy Nintendo consoles, because those are new customers who could buy other games like Bayonetta 2 and Devil's third (and some third party titles, not just Nintendo exclusives) |
And I still don't understand, because many Japanese Wii U owners definitely should own a PS3 as well, and many of them should be Musou fans as well, just the enough quantity to sell more thank 90K copies in the first week, at the very, very least. Something below that number is too conservative for me. So again, something below 90K sounds too conservative for me. The game will sell definitely somewhat good.
My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first.
| aikohualda said: 56k |
Someone dial-up this guy! I can telnet we have a ... -dropped connection-
amak11 said:
|
finally someone with humor :P
| Metallox said: And I still don't understand, because many Japanese Wii U owners definitely should own a PS3 as well, and many of them should be Musou fans as well, just the enough quantity to sell more thank 90K copies in the first week, at the very, very least. Something below that number is too conservative for me. So again, something below 90K sounds too conservative for me. The game will sell definitely somewhat good. |
Many?... you never know. If you play with the numbers you will get a more detailed prediction, but you cannot make too optimistic predictions, lets make some assumptions... let's say out of the 1.8 million Wii U owners from Japan, around 20% also have a PS3, that would give us 360k users, based on sales numbers for the last Dynasty Warriors game, on average around 5% of the PS3 owners are also Musou fans, that means we will get 18k Wii U owners who also have a PS3 and are Musou fans, but out of those only 60% buy the game on the first week, so 11k may come from the group that matches all our requirements. Even if you raise the multi-console percentage to an unusual 50%, the numbers will only raise to 27k.
That means all the other customers have to come from Wii U only users, that are not usually Musou fans and that may like or not The Zelda franchise that is not very popular in Japan. And is hard to imagine that those are way more than 60k - 70k. If you add the numbers you may get as low as 71k and as high as 97k for the first week, more people can buy it or the numbers could be wrong but everything above will be a very optimistic instance, and anything below a very pessimistic one. I rather be realistic and be happily surprised than too optimistic and be dissapointed.
I don't know about everyone else's prediction but mine includes digital sales.
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