| Metallox said: And I still don't understand, because many Japanese Wii U owners definitely should own a PS3 as well, and many of them should be Musou fans as well, just the enough quantity to sell more thank 90K copies in the first week, at the very, very least. Something below that number is too conservative for me. So again, something below 90K sounds too conservative for me. The game will sell definitely somewhat good. |
Many?... you never know. If you play with the numbers you will get a more detailed prediction, but you cannot make too optimistic predictions, lets make some assumptions... let's say out of the 1.8 million Wii U owners from Japan, around 20% also have a PS3, that would give us 360k users, based on sales numbers for the last Dynasty Warriors game, on average around 5% of the PS3 owners are also Musou fans, that means we will get 18k Wii U owners who also have a PS3 and are Musou fans, but out of those only 60% buy the game on the first week, so 11k may come from the group that matches all our requirements. Even if you raise the multi-console percentage to an unusual 50%, the numbers will only raise to 27k.
That means all the other customers have to come from Wii U only users, that are not usually Musou fans and that may like or not The Zelda franchise that is not very popular in Japan. And is hard to imagine that those are way more than 60k - 70k. If you add the numbers you may get as low as 71k and as high as 97k for the first week, more people can buy it or the numbers could be wrong but everything above will be a very optimistic instance, and anything below a very pessimistic one. I rather be realistic and be happily surprised than too optimistic and be dissapointed.
