Aye, it was largely the Xbox One's May slack-off that led to me coming up with the prediction in the first place. Granted, as you said, there are differences; Destiny isn't likely to have as big a bump, especially given the pre-orders ARE also getting spread out over multiple months instead of the 399 SKU's single month of pre-order availability. That and the PS4 just seems to have a higher baseline in general, so it can stand to suffer more of an immediate sales hit without falling behind than the Xbox One could. Heck, and again, if the Xbox One's sales have tanked by July's NPD, I'm pretty much 100% expecting my prediction to fail as well. =P Glad you understand where I'm coming from though.

I'm starting to think I should have reworded my prediction to say 'The chances of Xbox One winning the August NPD are a snowball's in a supernova. In July and September, it does not even have that chance.' =P I'd like to think that I posted my own doubts about the theory enough times in the OP to make it abundantly clear I wasn't part of the same victory-trumpeting brigade (especially since whatever loss in recorded sales Sony did suffer in August, or July even, due to a bundle pre-order would come roaring back in September,) but either I'm being playfully joshed by a couple of repliers, or they skipped my OP entirely and responded solely to my thread title thinking I'm an Xbox fanboy looking for the next 'secret sauce' excuse. o.O

That or they read the OP and were so shaken with rage they missed all the parts explaining this was intended as a long shot. O.o

Oooo, this is true, I hadn't considered that. o.o Does put an additional hole in the prediction. Oh well. x3 Maybe I should ninja edit it to say PS4 will win August, won't that make me a daring prophet, eh? ;P

Well the difference between you and TheDrill is that your thread actually encourages some thought. I thought you made a good point in your OP. TheDrill's OP in his thread, on the other hand... was really off-base.

Fully agree. I wasted more than a little time presenting evidence against what Drill was saying, only to have him ignore it outright. xP Sooo many paragraphs, hurled into the void, wasted upon a solid wall of really kinda creepy unfounded optimism and attempts to alter the very fabric of reality to fit what he was saying. o_o

Yes, it is going to help the xbox a by a little. 

Its an interesting theory, but as you said the existence of the bundle hasn't measurably slowed PS4 sales at this stage, meaning that though some people may wait until the Destiny bundle comes out, its not enough to allow the XB1 to beat the PS4 in NPD.

Despite how huge Destiny will be, I don't see it hitting 30-40% attach rates, meaning that 60-70% of current PS4 owners will not be buying Destiny. Extrapolating this to future buyers, I'd say 60-70% of people will be buying PS4's for reasons other than Destiny, and therefore and will not be swayed by the bundle. In Jun NPD, the PS4 outsold the XB1 by 36.5% despite the price drop, therefore even if all of the 30-40% of PS4 purchases that will buy Destiny hold-off in Aug to buy the bundle in September, it won't be enough for XB1 to outsell the PS4, as XB1 sales are likely to drop off over the next few months post price-cut.

Yes, ratchet426 nailed it.  Damn, I was just about to post the same thought.

Zanten, you now realize that "The Last of Us" will boost PS4 hardware sales in August,

whereas, there is not much to boost XB1 sales in the same month.

not a bad theory, it will definitely have an affect, will make it a little closer but I not the same as if Sony announce a pricedrop for Sep, if that were the case then yes. But I dont think a bundle will do it.

Yeah, I had actually completely forgotten about TLOU, or more specifically that it was releasing so close to the end of July; for some reason I had thought it was releasing a bit further inwards. o.O Oh well! Live and learn. x3

All you need to do is write "BOLD & DARING" in front of "prediction".