Prediction: PS4 Destiny Bundle Will Help Xbox One Win August NPD

[binary solo]

Zanten said:

binary solo said:
It's not a bad basis for the prediction. It is after all a similar kind of effect to the Kinectless Xb one announcement, which made May NPD into a complete write off for Xb one.

But I don't Destiny will have that big of an influence on the pattern of PS4 sales. Lots of people, right from when Destiny was first announced had probably decided to get PS4 only when Destiny comes out. So they were committed to a September buy anyway. Anyone not planning to get Destiny, but planning to get PS4 will maintain the PS4 buying pattern. Destiny will be big. But it won't be so big as to noticeably suck the oxygen out of hardware sales leading up to it.

Aye, it was largely the Xbox One's May slack-off that led to me coming up with the prediction in the first place. Granted, as you said, there are differences; Destiny isn't likely to have as big a bump, especially given the pre-orders ARE also getting spread out over multiple months instead of the 399 SKU's single month of pre-order availability. That and the PS4 just seems to have a higher baseline in general, so it can stand to suffer more of an immediate sales hit without falling behind than the Xbox One could. Heck, and again, if the Xbox One's sales have tanked by July's NPD, I'm pretty much 100% expecting my prediction to fail as well. =P Glad you understand where I'm coming from though.

I'm starting to think I should have reworded my prediction to say 'The chances of Xbox One winning the August NPD are a snowball's in a supernova. In July and September, it does not even have that chance.' =P I'd like to think that I posted my own doubts about the theory enough times in the OP to make it abundantly clear I wasn't part of the same victory-trumpeting brigade (especially since whatever loss in recorded sales Sony did suffer in August, or July even, due to a bundle pre-order would come roaring back in September,) but either I'm being playfully joshed by a couple of repliers, or they skipped my OP entirely and responded solely to my thread title thinking I'm an Xbox fanboy looking for the next 'secret sauce' excuse. o.O

That or they read the OP and were so shaken with rage they missed all the parts explaining this was intended as a long shot. O.o

All you need to do is write "BOLD & DARING" in front of "prediction".