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Forums - Gaming - Why I don't think the PS4 will pass 100m

Intrinsic on 19 July 2014
kinisking said:


Ps4 hasn't been able to do a steady 100k for like a month. but I agree it's far from its peak. I I think people are betting way to much on blood borne. Honestly destiny seems like a bigger seller for ps4

You are actually wrong. Looking at LTD, in the 39 weeks the PS4 has been available (actually less cause it was available for half of november and so far half of july) its averaging 215k per week. Yes its easy to look at one week or the other and say its not hitting 100k weeks but it really doesn't work that way. Cause everyone knows sales peak and slow at different times of the year. So its better to look at an overall weekly average.

And this is all at a period where its it most expensive and doesn't have system sellers to push sales. Cheaper and a couple of systen sellers and that wekly average will be even higher.



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Solid-Stark on 19 July 2014

Probably. I think it will reach 80m.



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Intrinsic on 19 July 2014
KLXVER said:
jonathanalis said:
is still early. but i agree if it die earlier than ps3, it wont pass 100m.
a good question is in how many copies it will sell in its peak year.


This might be its peak year. Probably not, but its possible.

Did you just say this may be the PS4s peak year? Are you even remotely serious?

What about the years with GT7, GTA6, U4 or price drop..... or maybe even two or three of those things in one year. 

The only consoles that peaked in their first year and tapered off after.... died.



larrysdirtydrawss on 19 July 2014

for comparison,anyone know 360's numbers for its first summer months sales back in 2006 and and ps3 first summer sales In 2007 (may/june/july)



KLXVER on 19 July 2014
Intrinsic said:

Did you just say this may be the PS4s peak year? Are you even remotely serious?

What about the years with GT7, GTA6, U4 or price drop..... or maybe even two or three of those things in one year. 

The only consoles that peaked in their first year and tapered off after.... died.


It might. Nobody can predict the future...



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mutantclown on 19 July 2014

Of course it will. At least half the Xbox old fanbase will end up buying a PS4 sooner or later. There were millions of 360 owners who never bought a PS3 (especially in USA and UK), or even Wii owners who never bought a PS3. This won't happen as much again, the PS4 is quickly becoming the main console in the American and UK markets.



benji232 on 19 July 2014

What you failed to consider is that PS4 is already selling pretty good in it's first year on the market. Sales, you know, usually increase year over year until typically the 3rd calendar year of the system's lifecycle.



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M

AZWification on 19 July 2014

The PS4 will reach 100 million thanks to the fact that it will sell for many years to come, but I don't see it reaching 120-150 million like other people...



                
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kinisking on 19 July 2014
DialgaMarine said:
kinisking said:
DialgaMarine said:
Damagon said:
Yes, but it won't happen until way after the PS5 is out.

Without Japan 100M is almost an unreachable goal.

 The PS2 still sold 130M + if you don't include the JP sales. PS4 hasn't lost Japan. Japanese gamers simply don't have any reason to buy one just yet with loads of JRPGs still releasing on PS2. Once the heavy hitting JRPGs start coming only on PS4, Japanese gamers will hop on board.

OT - I can see the PS4 shooting past 100M. It just needs big AAA exclusives combined with strong third party support like the PS2 had. PS4 is doing far better than the PS3 was at this point in it's life because it took forever for most of it's big AAA exclusives to release, and MS used easy-to-develop-for hardware and an earlier release to garner better third party support last gen. PS4, so far, has neither of those issues. SWS just take a while to start releasing, but once they do, they pour in. PS3 was doing 150K a week at it's peak. PS4 is far from it's peak. Lets not forget it's managing to maintain a 100K + per week, despite having few AAA exclusives already released or releasing in the near future. The system will start it's real snowball when more JRPGs and the Destiny Bundle release. Not to mention, the likes of Bloodborne and Uncharted 4 are guarenteed system sellers.


Ps4 hasn't been able to do a steady 100k for like a month. but I agree it's far from its peak. I I think people are betting way to much on blood borne. Honestly destiny seems like a bigger seller for ps4

 Only because of the severe drought it's seeing ATM, while Wii-U has MK8 to help push sales, and XBone is still thriving from the price drop. Regardless of all that PS4 is still on top and did good in the June NPD. 

As far as games, of course titles like UC4 and Destiny are going to be far bigger system sellers, but BloodBorne still got a pretty good ammount of attention at E3, and the fact that people know it's from the creators of Demon's Souls/ Dark Souls will guarentee that it sells respectably at launch so long as it can back itself up with good review scores.

The Xbox one is seeing a drought too. And the wii has had one for a while



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

Namiirei on 19 July 2014
kinisking said:
DarkRPGamer007 said:
This
My predictions are (lifetime, and may seem optimistic)
3DS-100m
PS4-80m
WiiU-55m
XB1-50m
Vita-20m


Yeah, no. Wii u won't sell as much as Xbox bone much less more. I I really hope wiiu can pull off at least 40 million though. I think ps4 will be 95 mill Xbox one about 70 and wii u about 40

WiiU already sell the same as xbox one globally (even more for june), so i don't know why you disagree with him.

Xbox one will not be at the same level at WiiU this year, maybe not even in 2015, and maybe not at all, we don't really know.