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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Halo 5 vs. Uncharted 4 vs. Zelda U - Reality check necrobump!

bevochan on 10 June 2014
cpg716 said:
Raziel123 said:
thx1139 said:
Seriously?

Halo 4 9+ million
Uncharted 3 6+ million
Zelda TP 6+ million on a console that sold over 100 million

With that in mind
Halo 5 9+ million
Uncharted 4 6+ million
Zelda Wii U 2-3 million


You're neglecting to take into account the ~10 million bigger install base on PS4 compared to xb1

He is neglecting to take into an account a number you just made up in your head??

The gap right now is less then 4 million and likely won't be increasing much over the next 6 months..    $399 price cut in June..  September marks the releases of 20 or so more markets..   Novermber is Halo: MCC..   Plus big titles of COD, Battlefield,  Fable and Sunset Overdrive. While the PS4 will maintain a healthy lead.. I dont think it will widen to 10 million within the next year. 


I think it's going to close.  I don't think Halo 5 will sell as well as Halo 4 (which didn't sell as well as Halo 3), so I see another 2 million drop.  Halo 5 is made by 343 games instead of Bungie, and Halo 4 was mildly disappointing.

I think Uncharted 4 can grow another million or 2.  

I don't think install base will have that much of an effect on lifetime sales, and quality of the game will matter most.  If install base was so important, then why didn't Halo 4 outsell Halo 3.  Halo 3 came out VERY early in xbox360 lifespan (less than 20 million xbox sold) and manage to sell 11+ million.  Halo 4 came out very late in xbox360 lifespan (probably had 50 million larger install base) and only sold 9 million.

I previously made a prediction that Uncharted 2 will outsell Halo 3 ODST, and NOBODY agreed with me.  

 

So I predict that Uncharted 4 will sell around 7.7 million lifetime.  Halo 5 will sell 7.2 million lifetime.  I have no idea how Zelda U will do, but I'll guess and say it will sell 6 million lifetime.  




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Raziel123 on 10 June 2014
cpg716 said:
Raziel123 said:
thx1139 said:
Seriously?

Halo 4 9+ million
Uncharted 3 6+ million
Zelda TP 6+ million on a console that sold over 100 million

With that in mind
Halo 5 9+ million
Uncharted 4 6+ million
Zelda Wii U 2-3 million


You're neglecting to take into account the ~10 million bigger install base on PS4 compared to xb1

He is neglecting to take into an account a number you just made up in your head??

The gap right now is less then 4 million and likely won't be increasing much over the next 6 months..    $399 price cut in June..  September marks the releases of 20 or so more markets..   Novermber is Halo: MCC..   Plus big titles of COD, Battlefield,  Fable and Sunset Overdrive. While the PS4 will maintain a healthy lead.. I dont think it will widen to 10 million within the next year. 

Let's talk in November 2015



GhetooBillGates on 10 June 2014
Title metacritc first week sales litfetime sales
Uncharted 4 96 2. milion 8.8 million
Zelda U 93 1.5 million 7.8 million
Halo 5 95 2.7 million  9.2 million 


Xevross on 10 June 2014

Uncharted: 98 metacritic  FW: 2.4m  Lifetime: 8.2m (I know I'm optimistic )

Halo 5: 91 metacritic FW: 2.7m   Lifetime: 7.1m

Zelda: 92 metacritic  FW: 1.1m   Lifetime: 4.2m



http://vizioneck.com/

Zadainie on 10 June 2014

I agree.



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Skidonti on 10 June 2014
the-pi-guy said:
cpg716 said:
I am curious on how you think Uncharted 4 will sell 3 million more on the PS4... With an install base of only 15-20 million compared to 80+ million. Uncharted 2 and 3 both sound just barely 6 million copies.. and there was no growth between 2 and 3.. in fact it sold a little less copies..

I agree with your HALO 5 figure.. Halo 3 sold 11+ and Halo 4 sold about 9 mil. While the X1 console base will only be around 15m on release and maybe hit 20 m during Halo 5 lifespan could see a 8m in sales (as it would be a decline from previous outings)...

U2 - 6.38 in 4.5 years

U3 - 6.34 in 2.5 years

Well,

U2 - ~5.6 in 2.5 years.

U3 - 6.3 in 2.5 years

And more popular franchises on large install bases get more frontloaded. UC3 is dropping faster and will sell 6.7 million by the looks of it, UC2 6.5 million. I'm not saying an increase in UC4 isn't impossible but I don't think 9+ is a likely choice. Maybe breaking 7 million if it sells for a long time.



Smear-Gel on 10 June 2014

I think the highest reviewed will either be Zelda or Uncharted. Halo 5 "could" get under 90, while it isnt possible for the other two to get that.



Skidonti on 10 June 2014
Name Metacritic First Week Lifetime
Halo 5 89-92 (90) 2,300,000 ?
 8.5 - 9.1 (8.7)
Uncharted 4 92-95 (93) 2,100,000 ?
 6.2 - 7.0 (6.6)
Zelda U 92-96 (95)
 1,750,000 ?
 4.7 - 5.2 (5.1)

I gave some ranges for safety but made specific predictions. Yes, both of Zelda's are on my optimistic side of the range. (;



Angelv577 on 10 June 2014

                                                                 Metacritic                  First week sales              Lifetime sales

Halo 5:                                                          89                              2.5 million                       8.5 million
Uncharted 4:                                               93                              1.8 million                       5.5 million
Zelda U:                                                        95                              800k                                  3 million



GhetooBillGates on 10 June 2014
Xevross said:

Uncharted: 98 metacritic  FW: 2.4m  Lifetime: 8.2m (I know I'm optimistic )

Halo 5: 91 metacritic FW: 2.7m   Lifetime: 7.1m

Zelda: 92 metacritic  FW: 1.1m   Lifetime: 4.2m

Damn Uncharted 4 98 That would be the best Rated Naughty Dog game ever, for your sake i hope it does, but troll reviewers will prevent that from happening.