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Forums - Gaming - Xbox One to overtake PS4 in NA in 2015, says analyst

 

When will X1 overtake PS4 in NA?

2014 26 4.37%
 
First half of 2015 38 6.39%
 
Second half of 2015 48 8.07%
 
2016 onwards 24 4.03%
 
It won't 459 77.14%
 
Total:595
SoftHimbeer said:

No it didn't
VGChartz Numbers are wrong
Look at the last month NPD where suddenly the PS4 especially after adjustments was far far far ahead again.
Only on the weekly VGchartz numbers the X1 is somehow ahead and no one knows why they do this all the time.

Mainly using the numbers as an example, but point taken, I was hoping to point out what Xbox One has to do a lot to make up for the deficit. Mainly due to the fact no one buys consoles in the summer, come November we'll be able to get some decent numbers and difference. 



Hmm, pie.

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Not for single month this year.



So between now and 2015 the PS4 software lineup won't expand nor will it get a price reduction. This prediction was made in a vacuum where only the XB1 is trying to compete.
He thinks Sony won't do anything to continue to compete.



Sagemode87 said:
TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.

No... it's not... 


Current Us numbers:

XOne 50,092 (-4%) 2,871,919
PS4 48,257 (-6%) 3,193,923

 

It did even better Titanfall week, and it will do better the price cut.



TheDrill said:
Sagemode87 said:
TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.

No... it's not... 


Current Us numbers:

XOne 50,092 (-4%) 2,871,919
PS4 48,257 (-6%) 3,193,923

 

It did even better Titanfall week, and it will do better the price cut.


NPD Group will report their numbers soon, let's see if the Xbox One is really outselling the Playstation 4:O



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Soundwave said:
Getting real PS4 = SNES, XB1 = Genesis vibes here, it will probably be extremely close in North America.

Is WiiU the TurboGrafx-16?



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

TheDarkLink said:
I'am wondering why everyone purchases a PS4 instead of a XBox One because the XBox One has the better games right now! I hope this will change with the Kinectless XBox One SKU!!!


I guess people see it as a future investement and wouldn't spend £400 for the current games alone. Just a theory



TheDrill said:
Sagemode87 said:
TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.

No... it's not... 


Current Us numbers:

XOne 50,092 (-4%) 2,871,919
PS4 48,257 (-6%) 3,193,923

 

It did even better Titanfall week, and it will do better the price cut.


HAHAHAHA oh man. That's comedy gold. Those numbers are so screwed it's actually embarassing. The real numbers are closer to 2 to 1 in favor of PS4. You are either being deliberately obtuse, or you are merely not paying attention to the severe tracking problems of VGC numbers in 2014.

Do you think it's a random coincidence that Microsoft announces the $399 SKU now? They would NEVER lower the price if they were leading during their first year. Not in a thousand years.



SoftHimbeer said:
The Fury said:
TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.

While it'll help, sometimes a price cut/change in system may not help (See PS3 at first). While I think in NA the Xbox One could catch the PS4 (it's a decent prediction, first first response in thread) There are a lot of factors that could still hurt the Xbox One. Things like games matter, both PS4 and Xbox One have just had a big game out and more on the way, each with their own small spike.

Xbox One outsold the PS4 in NA this week by 2000 units, 2000 units times 24 month (aka 2016) is only 50k and they are down by 300k. Keep in mind in that time other games will release, both consoles will have a price reductions as costs of manufacturing go down, things like that. Week before that only 1k units, week before that PS4 won. The price reduction bump might only be 5k units, still not enough.

Then there is that one very important thing, maybe, just maybe, less people want the Xbox One. If you are going to spend the money, people will buy what they want not what is cheapest, especially when it comes to games consoles. Many on his site that don't have next gen consoles have already made up their mind what they want, they are just waiting for the correct price. But we are die hard fans, the casual market could affect it a little but they aren't looking to spend $400 in June. That's what Christmas is for.


No it didn't
VGChartz Numbers are wrong
Look at the last month NPD where suddenly the PS4 especially after adjustments was far far far ahead again.
Only on the weekly VGchartz numbers the X1 is somehow ahead and no one knows why they do this all the time.

Yeah apparently week by week XBO can outsell the PS4, but in one single week the PS4 then beats the previous 3 weeks of sales ... yeah but no.

NPD tomorrow, so I guess we will see if VGC is correct or is wrong, but many believe it to be wrong. So unless VGC see something we don't it could be interesting tomorrow.

It does sound like both consoles have lower sales April than in March (ignoring the 5 week period of course)... so we could be in for a bit of a stinker of an NPD.

As MS have decided that the kinect removal wont be done until 9th June, we wont know until mid July if thats made any difference at all. I think E3 is june right... so that could have more of a bearing on sales than the removal of kinect (for both companies).



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TheDrill said:
Sagemode87 said:
TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.

No... it's not... 


Current Us numbers:

XOne 50,092 (-4%) 2,871,919
PS4 48,257 (-6%) 3,193,923

 

It did even better Titanfall week, and it will do better the price cut.

If you look at NPD for March - which is when Titanfall came out, the PS4 outsold it in the USA by 60k. That I believe also included a couple of weeks discounted sales by stores.

So I dont know what to tell you without being too rude about the numbers...... wait till tomorrow night.. 11pm then we shall see. But it would seem strange for them to drop it if the console was selling great.

As another point of view on that...of course what we dont know right now (and MS wont know) is has the PS4 also dropped. So MS might be dropping Kinect based off their own issues and not on any issues with PS4.



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