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Forums - Website Topics - Feb 9th American Predicition League - Time to pay the Butcher!!

Can we get an update?

 

My Vg$ has been locked in that  one prediciton since Feb 1st!!!  That's 3 weeks of waiting.... 

 

Oh btw, I did horrible (not sure what the hell I was drinking)... 

 

 



Proud Member of GAIBoWS (Gamers Against Irrational Bans of Weezy & Squilliam)

                   

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It shouldn't take you too long to find out how much you lost/won. You betted 1125 Vg dough, so you might lose quite a bit...

Heck, I'll do it for you. It's not 100 % sure this is correct, ok?

Game name - your bet - actual - %

Turok 360 - 34K - 82K - 41-42%
Turok Ps3 - 9K - 44K - 20-21%
DMC 4 ps3 - 29K - 195K - 14-15 %
DMC 4 360 - 49K - 337K - 14-15 %
AC:AC - 39K - 23K - 30ish %
Culdcept saga - 34K -20K - 25 ish %
SMG - 69K - 72K - 95.83%
GHIII Ps2 - 59K - 64k - 90ish %
BP 360 - 14K - 50K - 28 %
BP ps3 - 6K - 28K - 21%
DS - 149K - 153k - 97%
Wii - 129K - 216K - 60 %
X360 - 74K - 86K - 86 %
Ps3- 44K - 74K - 60 %
PSP- 54K 59K - 91%

Estimated overall: 51 %

I'm not sure how they measure your money, but looking at last time, either 60 or 66% is going even. That means you lost something between 100-150 VG cash if I'm right. Do not trust the summary at bottom here though!



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

Oyvoyvoyv said:
It shouldn't take you too long to find out how much you lost/won. You betted 1125 Vg dough, so you might lose quite a bit...

Heck, I'll do it for you. It's not 100 % sure this is correct, ok?

Game name - your bet - actual - %

Turok 360 - 34K - 82K - 41-42%
Turok Ps3 - 9K - 44K - 20-21%
DMC 4 ps3 - 29K - 195K - 14-15 %
DMC 4 360 - 49K - 337K - 14-15 %
AC:AC - 39K - 23K - 30ish %
Culdcept saga - 34K -20K - 25 ish %
SMG - 69K - 72K - 95.83%
GHIII Ps2 - 59K - 64k - 90ish %
BP 360 - 14K - 50K - 28 %
BP ps3 - 6K - 28K - 21%
DS - 149K - 153k - 97%
Wii - 129K - 216K - 60 %
X360 - 74K - 86K - 86 %
Ps3- 44K - 74K - 60 %
PSP- 54K 59K - 91%

Estimated overall: 51 %

I'm not sure how they measure your money, but looking at last time, either 60 or 66% is going even. That means you lost something between 100-150 VG cash if I'm right. Do not trust the summary at bottom here though!

I would only lose 100-150?? That's awesome!

For sure I thought I was screwed... You better be right!!! (jk, thanks!)



Proud Member of GAIBoWS (Gamers Against Irrational Bans of Weezy & Squilliam)

                   

You can't count how much you win in prediction league unless you will calculate average accuracy (which is based on all users predictions). Maybe 60% was a breaking point last time but it may change as there were some surprises which lead average accuracy down. It also varies depending on what you bet more money.



I'll estimate the average then...

Turok 360 - 61- 82K - 74%
Turok Ps3 - 31- 44K - 70%
DMC 4 ps3 - 94- 195K - 48%
DMC 4 360 - 132- 337K - 39%
AC:AC - 56- 23K - 0%
Culdcept saga - 21-20K - 99%
SMG - 62- 72K - 86 %
GHIII Ps2 - 51- 64k - 80 %
BP 360 - 37- 50K - 34 %
BP ps3 - 21- 28K - 75 %
DS - 127- 153k - 83 %
Wii - 112- 216K - 51 %
X360 - 77- 86K - 90 %
Ps3- 51- 74K - 68 %
PSP- 58 - 59K - 98%


Estimated overall: 66.3 %

That means you perhaps lost 150-250 then. if I am correct (which I wouldn't assume)
This analyzis is also flawed, because people didn't bet the excact same as each other.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

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bah, looks more like I'll only get 845 back...

How does it work for Assassins Creed when the average is 0%??



Proud Member of GAIBoWS (Gamers Against Irrational Bans of Weezy & Squilliam)

                   

Huh. Lets see

Game name - my bet - actual - %ish

Turok 360 - 100K - 82K - 78%

Turok Ps3 - 45K - 44K - 98%

DMC 4 ps3 - 100K - 195K - 52 % 
DMC 4 360 - 150K - 337K - 45 % 
AC:AC - 19K - 23K - 83 %
Culdcept saga - 30K -20K - 25 ish % 
SMG - 74K - 72K - 98% 
GHIII Ps2 - 73K - 64k - 86 %
BP 360 - 50K - 50K - 100 % 
BP ps3 - 28K - 28K - 100%
DS - 153K - 153k - 100%
Wii - 138K - 216K - 64 % 
X360 - 99K - 86K - 85%
Ps3- 61K - 74K - 83 % 
PSP- 65K 59K - 90%

 

Wow. Aside from DMC and Culdcept, the Wii spike was really the only thing that threw me. Damn I feel good about this one. 



I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do. 

Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.

Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!

Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.

stof said:

Huh. Lets see

Game name - my bet - actual - %ish

Turok 360 - 100K - 82K - 78%

Turok Ps3 - 45K - 44K - 98%

DMC 4 ps3 - 100K - 195K - 52 % 
DMC 4 360 - 150K - 337K - 45 % 
AC:AC - 19K - 23K - 83 %
Culdcept saga - 30K -20K - 25 ish % 
SMG - 74K - 72K - 98% 
GHIII Ps2 - 73K - 64k - 86 %
BP 360 - 50K - 50K - 100 % 
BP ps3 - 28K - 28K - 100%
DS - 153K - 153k - 100%
Wii - 138K - 216K - 64 % 
X360 - 99K - 86K - 85%
Ps3- 61K - 74K - 83 % 
PSP- 65K 59K - 90%

 

Wow. Aside from DMC and Culdcept, the Wii spike was really the only thing that threw me. Damn I feel good about this one. 


I'm just gonna copy your numbers next round....



Proud Member of GAIBoWS (Gamers Against Irrational Bans of Weezy & Squilliam)

                   

I have about 67% of accuracy, and about 40 dollars of winning (from 120 I bet), so i'm in rush to get that money back. ;)



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)

I got lucky Gebx. I got even luckier that I missed the cut off date on the feb 16th NA bets, as I would have boned that one up big time!



I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do. 

Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.

Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!

Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.