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Forums - Politics Discussion - Chicago Concealed Carry: Murder Rate Drops to Lowest in 56 Years

Mr Khan said:
Correlation =! Causation?


Ice cream consumption does cause polio.



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Anyways, yeah, concealed carry seems to have very little to do with this, weather was probably the main factor.

However, there has been at least one instance of a CCW holder stopping a crime, thus far: http://cdn.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/04/06/A-Whole-New-World-Chicago-Resident-With-CCW-Turns-Tables-On-Armed-Attackers



SocialistSlayer said:

Chicago police are reporting that the murder rate for the first quarter of the year is the lowest it’s been in more than 50 years, which gun advocates are attributing to a concealed carry law passed in Illinois last year.

The first three months of 2014 have seen the fewest number of homicides since 1958 — six fewer than this time in 2013, and 55 fewer than this time in 2012, The Chicago Sun-Times reported.

 

 

There were "90 fewer shootings and 119 fewer shooting victims" compared to the same time in 2013 and "222 fewer shootings and 292 fewer shooting victims" than the first quarter of 2012.

 PHOTOS: Top 10 handguns in the U.S.

Gun-rights advocates argue that concealed carry laws can reduce crime and keep the population safer. The state began accepting applications for permits in January.

“The facts are every time guns have been allowed, concealed-carry has been allowed, the crime rate has gone down,” said Rep. Louie Gohmert, a Texas Republican, just months before Illinois passed the concealed carry law in July 2013.

But Chicago Police Superintendant Garry McCarthy says the opposite is what’s reducing crime: police have recovered 1,300 illegal guns during the first three months of 2014.

Mr. McCarthy also attributed the drop in violence to better police training and community programs to keep kids off the street. Both the city’s top cop and its mayor, former Obama Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, have said they oppose the concealed carry laws.



Read more: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/apr/5/gun-advocates-credit-new-concealed-carry-laws-shar/#ixzz2yQKeWWHo 
Follow us: @washtimes on Twitter

I have a question.

When someone shoots someone in self defense, is that classed as a criminal shooting? as in would it count towards the number of "shootings", if not then would it not be fairly reasonable to assume that the number of murders/shootings dropped because the number of claims of self defense rose?



It appears that fewer firearms in circulation means a low murder by firearm rate as evidenced in countries with tight gun laws. And maybe very high ownership rates also reduce murder rates because there is some sort of deterrance at a social consciousness level. Though I'm not sure if high ownership rates has been subject to serious study.

Isn't it still the case that the vast majority of murders are carried out by someone known to and fairly close with the victim? In which case concealed carry probably really has no material impact on these sorts of murders.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

damn us aussies better get gunned up to get our national gun homocide rate down of 0.13/100,000



 

 

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SamuelRSmith said:
Anyways, yeah, concealed carry seems to have very little to do with this, weather was probably the main factor.

However, there has been at least one instance of a CCW holder stopping a crime, thus far: http://cdn.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/04/06/A-Whole-New-World-Chicago-Resident-With-CCW-Turns-Tables-On-Armed-Attackers

I never did claim the illinois allowing rights (conceal carry) reduced crime already. I merely posted the article to show hoplophobes that the passage of conceal carry, the expansion of rights does not at all make more blood in the streets, as gun grabbers would have you believe.

Though i came accross this article, which seems related and funny: 

CHICAGO POLICE ACCUSED OF COOKING LOWER CRIME STATS

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/04/19/Chicago-Police-Accused-of-Cooking-Lower-Crime-Stats



 

binary solo said:
It appears that fewer firearms in circulation means a low murder by firearm rate as evidenced in countries with tight gun laws. And maybe very high ownership rates also reduce murder rates because there is some sort of deterrance at a social consciousness level. Though I'm not sure if high ownership rates has been subject to serious study.

Isn't it still the case that the vast majority of murders are carried out by someone known to and fairly close with the victim? In which case concealed carry probably really has no material impact on these sorts of murders.


Actually, the real problem with these arguments is just that there seems to be little to no global correlation in regards to gun laws versus murder rates, either positively or negatively. Even within the USA, there's a substantial difference between New York (Low) and Illinois (High), despite both being fairly strict.. and also between New Hampshire (Low) and Louisiana (High) which have relatively "loose" gun restrictions.

Even shown in this thread how disputable claims are in both Chicago and Australia. The UK has seen an increase in the murder rate and violent crime rates since banning handguns, and the UK is claimed to be the most violent country in Europe, despite having some of the strictest gun laws across the continent.

The issue being that with such a wide disparity in stats, any "study" is easy to manipulate depending on who's paying for it, simply by picking locations and timeframes that suit their needs.



You don't know what in the heck you're talking about.....The murder rate is down because it's been winter, TRUST ME the murder rate is going to SKYROCKET this summer. GD's (Gangsta Disciples) and BD's (Black Disciples) are currently at war, almost every month someone from each faction has been murdered.

Just this week Blood Money (Chief Keef's uncle who is a BD) was just murdered in a drive by, so K.I (Lil Jo Jo's cousin who is a GD) was just murdered 2 days later in drive by.

Chicago's murder rate isn't high because there aren't guns for law abiding citizens , it's high because they have a SERIOUS gang problem. You think giving law abiding citizens guns is going to lower the murder rate? lol

These kids are having shoot outs with heavily armed police what makes you think they would be scared of a law abiding citizen with 1 or 2 hand guns? The only thing that is going to fix this problem is giving the kids opportunities to make legal money. Until then they'll continue joining gangs and committing crimes to feed their families.

The poverty rate for blacks in south side chicago is 34.1 compared to whites 10.9. The unemployment rate for blacks is 19.5 compared to whites 8.1. The median income for blacks is $29,371 compared to whites $58,752.

Crime/Gangs/Murder is synonymous with poverty, if somehow the job outlook could be fixed to give these kids legal money to feed their family they wouldn't have to run the streets to get their next dollar while killing.



I hate living 15 mins from Chicago. The violence is beginning to spread out around the city. People are moving out of Chicago and bringing all this crap with them to our suburbs. I sleep with a small switchblade next to my bed to make sure I can protect this house and my family. I'll do whatever to make sure they are safe. It shouldn't have to be this way, I shouldn't even have to think about this, but sadly it's becoming a reality. I'll move out of this corrupt state eventually. 15 years ago this was a fantastic place to live.



lucidium said:

I have a question.

When someone shoots someone in self defense, is that classed as a criminal shooting? as in would it count towards the number of "shootings", if not then would it not be fairly reasonable to assume that the number of murders/shootings dropped because the number of claims of self defense rose?

Only if the shooting is backed up as self defense.  

Which is actually a VERY hard case to win most of the time.