By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Gaming - When Will Xbox One Outsell Wii U?

It's really going to depend on how much hardware MK8 and SSB end up moving and if there is an Xbone pricecut in the fall. I'd say this time next year is a plausible scenario.



" Rebellion Against Tyrants Is Obedience To God"

Around the Network

Before 2015



shikamaru317 said:

My previous summer prediction seems unlikely now that I think about it, here's my revised monthly sales predictions:

  End of 2013 total Jan Feb Mar End of Q1 total Apr May Jun End of Q2 total Jul Aug Sep End of Q3 total Oct Nov Dec End of Q4 total
Wii U 5.38m 309k 255k 220k 6.164m 350k 230k 180k 6.924 170k 150k 140k 7.384m 300k 700k 1.8m 10.184m
Xbox One 3.05m 525k 370k 700k 4.645m 720k 450k 350k 6.165m 380k 340k 400k 7.285m 520k 1.4m 2.2m 11.405m

This assumes that ntkrnl's leak was accurate (he said Xbox One would release in more countries in April and October, also that Halo 5 would be replaced by Halo 2 Anniversary with included Halo 5 beta access for December). It also assumes an April release for Mario Kart and November releases for Super Smash Bros and Halo 2 Anniversary, as well as late October-early November price drops for both the Wii U and Xbox One (down to $250 and $400 respectively).  

This puts the Xbox One passing the Wii U in November.


MK 8 is coming out in May... Yet is barely has ANY affect on sales in your prediction? Okay.



shikamaru317 said:

My previous summer prediction seems unlikely now that I think about it, here's my revised monthly sales predictions:

  End of 2013 total Jan Feb Mar End of Q1 total Apr May Jun End of Q2 total Jul Aug Sep End of Q3 total Oct Nov Dec End of Q4 total
Wii U 5.38m 309k 255k 220k 6.164m 350k 230k 180k 6.924 170k 150k 140k 7.384m 300k 700k 1.8m 10.184m
Xbox One 3.05m 525k 370k 700k 4.645m 720k 450k 350k 6.165m 380k 340k 400k 7.285m 520k 1.4m 2.2m 11.405m

 

Except for Jan isn't the XB1 on track for ~350K and Wii U for ~200K?



My 8th gen collection

It depends on whether Nintendo can gain some decent support from 3rd parties, if not this xmas



Around the Network

If it does this year, then sometime November or December.



e=mc^2

Gaming on: PS4 Pro, Switch, SNES Mini, Wii U, PC (i5-7400, GTX 1060)

end of 2014. Holiday sales should secure it.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

shikamaru317 said:
ICStats said:

Except for Jan isn't the XB1 on track for ~350K and Wii U for ~200K?

I'm counting the week of Dec 29th-Jan 4th as part of January instead of December. That puts the Xbox One at 439k and the Wii U at 268k so far this month with one week to go.

Ok.  In that case XB1 should be at 2.92M at end of Dec 2013.



My 8th gen collection

Summer... maybe.



shikamaru317 said:
ICStats said:
shikamaru317 said:

I'm counting the week of Dec 29th-Jan 4th as part of January instead of December. That puts the Xbox One at 439k and the Wii U at 268k so far this month with one week to go.

Dec 29th-Jan 4th is already counted in the ~3.05 Million until end of Dec 2013.  You're counting it twice.

I'm honestly not sure if it is or not, I got my numbers for 2013 from this thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=151051

He has the it listed as 3.05m X1 and 5.38 Wii U without the week of Dec 29th-Jan 4th included, I assume he either counted the week twice or VGchartz has adjusted some of the previous week's numbers since he put the numbers in his chart. Ultimately that single week doesn't matter too much in the grand scheme of my prediction though. The Xbox One would still overtake the Wii U in November.

True, it doesn't affect things much by November.

I was going off this: http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/41637/Global/ .  XB1 may have been revised down a bit.



My 8th gen collection