I'm going to go out on a limb and say 2.
Nintendo still doomed?
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Nintendo ID: Mako91 3DS code: 4167-4543-6089
I copied your format.
My total prediction = 36
Thus far these games have reached 1 million:
Motorstorm.
Resistance: FoM.
CoD 4: Modern Warfare.
Assassin's Creed.
PES 2008.
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune.
FIFA 2008.
Need For Speed: ProStreet.
= 8
To this I'll add the following games already released:
Devil May Cry 4.
Burnout Paradise.
Guitar Hero 3.
Ratchet & Clank Future.
Heavenly Sword.
Hot Shots Golf.
= 6
And finally future games:
Madden NFL 2009.
PES 2009.
FIFA 2009.
Call of Duty 5.
Guitar Hero 4.
Resistance 2.
LittleBigPlanet.
Killzone 2.
Metal Gear Solid 4.
GTA 4.
Motorstorm 2.
Fallout 3.
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed.
Haze.
Army of 2.
Rainbow Six Vegas 2.
Gran Turismo 5. - i think it reaches a million in 2 weeks.
FF13. - I'll go out on a limb and say it gets a 2008 release
Getaway.
LA Noire.
SOCOM Confrontation
White Knight Chronicles
= 22
I may be optimistic on a few 2008 releases but I'll go ahead and say 36. Although it may be more like 34 if say FF13 and GT5 are 2009.
I would say between 19 and 31 depending on whether some titles actually live up to hype andturnout to be average games with average sales (like Killzone 2)
Motorstorm.
Resistance: FoM.
CoD 4: Modern Warfare.
Assassin's Creed.
PES 2008.
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune.
FIFA 2008.
Need For Speed: ProStreet.
= 8.
To this I'll add the following games already released:
Devil May Cry 4.
Burnout Paradise.
Guitar Hero 3.
Ratchet & Clank Future.
Heavenly Sword.
Gran Turismo 5: Prologue.
= 6.
And finally future games:
Rainbow Six Vegas 2
White Knight Chronicles
The Last Remnant
FF XIII (in Japan alone)
SSX 5 (yet to be announced, but I'm pretty sure it will come out this year)
Eight Days
Soul Calibur 4
Anoter Tom Clancy game (either end war of graw 3)
Killzone 2
Madden NFL 2009.
PES 2009.
FIFA 2009.
Need for Speed next.
Call of Duty 5.
Guitar Hero 4.
Resistance 2.
LittleBigPlanet.
Tekken 6.
Killzone 2.
Metal Gear Solid 4.
GTA 4.
Motorstorm 2.
Infamous.
Fallout 3.
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed.
Haze.
= 40 games
Optimistic, I know
My total prediction = 24
Thus far these games have reached 1 million:
Motorstorm.
Resistance: FoM.
CoD 4: Modern Warfare.
Assassin's Creed.
PES 2008.
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune.
FIFA 2008.
Need For Speed: ProStreet.
= 8
To this I'll add the following games already released:
Devil May Cry 4.
Ratchet & Clank Future.
Heavenly Sword.
Hot Shots Golf.
= 4
And finally future games:
Madden NFL 2009.
PES 2009.
FIFA 2009.
Call of Duty 5.
Guitar Hero 4.
Resistance 2.
Killzone 2.
Metal Gear Solid 4.
GTA 4.
Motorstorm 2.
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed.
Rainbow Six Vegas 2.
= 12
Games that have made it:
Motorstorm.
Resistance: FoM.
CoD 4: Modern Warfare.
Assassin's Creed.
PES 2008.
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune.
FIFA 2008.
Need For Speed: ProStreet.
= 8
Games out that haven't made it, but will:
Ratchet and Clank: Tools of Destruction
Devil May Cry 4
Heavenly Sword
Hot Shots Golf 5
Gran Turismo 5: Prologue
Burnout: Paradise
Guitar Hero 3
Dynasty Warriors 6
= 8
Games not out yet:
Far Cry 2
Rainbow Six Vegas 2
Motorstorm 2
Resistance 2
Killzone 2
Metal Gear Solid 4
Grand Theft Auto 4
Gran Turismo 4
Infamous
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed
Call of Duty 5
Guitar Hero 4
Fifa 2009
PES 2009
Madden NFL 2009
Tekken 6
Fallout 3
Haze
LittleBigPlanet (this is my biggest maybe)
Next Need for Speed
Next skate. game
= 21
Total = 37
| DSLover said: I would say between 19 and 31 depending on whether some titles actually live up to hype andturnout to be average games with average sales (like Killzone 2) |
In my opinion, Killzone 2 is the safest bet for a Million seller on the PS3 in 2008 because of what one of my friends calls the "Halo Effect" ...
When you're spending that much money developing a game you're not going to leave its sales up to chance. The marketing campaign for Killzone 2 will be unprecidented in size, and every major website and magazine (in particular those that can be "bought") will have months of advertisements that can be pulled if their review displeases Sony.
It doesn't matter whether Killzone 2 will earn an 80% or higher score it will get an 80% or higher score, and it doesn't matter whether Killzone 2 will deserve multi-million sales it will get multi-million sales.
Motorstorm.
Resistance: FoM
CoD 4: Modern Warfare
Assassin's Creed
PES 2008
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune
FIFA 2008
Need For Speed: ProStreet
= 8.
To this I'll add the following games already released:
Devil May Cry 4.
Burnout Paradise.
Guitar Hero 3.
Ratchet & Clank Future.
Heavenly Sword.
Gran Turismo 5: Prologue.
= 6.
And finally future games:
White Knight Chronicles
Killzone 2
Resistance 2
Tekken 6
Metal Gear Solid 4
GTA 4
= 6
= 20 games for sure. But I realize there are lots of games I forgot, and some will still be announced, so I'm going to say somewhere between 22 and 28 million sellers at the end of 2009.
Oh, and everyone saying the Fifa, PES and Need for Speed games will sell a million this year: think again. Those games are generally released in the last quarter, no way they will sell a million in less 3 months when it took 4-5 months last year. Maybe one of them will manage to sell a million so fast, but not all of them.
Well, i had in mind around 40.
So, if there will be only 38 or 43, don`t attack me. =))
NOW, people, you should have in mind, that PS3 userbase will be around 25 mln. or almost 3 times bigger, then by the end of 2007.
9 mln. - 36%, 16 mln. - 64%.
Thus far these games have reached 1 million:
Motorstorm
Resistance: FoM
CoD 4: Modern Warfare
Assassin's Creed
PES 2008
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune
FIFA 2008
Need For Speed: ProStreet
= 8
To this I'll add the following games already released:
Devil May Cry 4
Burnout Paradise
Guitar Hero 3
Ratchet & Clank Future
Heavenly Sword
Gran Turismo 5: Prologue
Hot Shots 5
Madden NFL 08
WWE Smackdown vs Raw 2008
Unreal Tournament III
Kane & Lynch: Dead Men
NGS - no europe sales
Warhawk - no online sales
Lair - no europe sales + lair 2.0
Rock Band - no europe sales
= 15
Madden NFL 2009
PES 2009
FIFA 2009
Need for Speed
Call of Duty 5
Guitar Hero 4
Resistance 2
LittleBigPlanet
Tekken 6
Killzone 2
Metal Gear Solid 4
GTA 4
Motorstorm 2
Saints Row 2
Infamous
Alone in the dark
Tiberium
Fallout 3
Star Wars: The Force Unleashed
Haze
Army of 2
Socom
FFXIII
GT5
WKS
Naruto
RE5
The Last Remnant
= 28
Total: = 51
Well, there is a posibility, that 5-15 titles maybe won`t reach 1 mln. =))
Also, in 2008 could come unnounced games, like new Jak for example.
Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...
2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.
Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.
1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.
PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far
around 25- 30 probably
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