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Forums - Sales Discussion - iSuppli's console sales numbers and forecasts (or "WTF, is this for real?")

NJ5 on 17 February 2008

http://www.pcworld.com/article/id,142531-c,gameconsoles/article.html

Wii to Displace Xbox 360 by End of 2008

Nintendo's Wii game console will displace Microsoft's Xbox 360 as the new-generation game machine, according to market research firm iSuppli.

Dan Nystedt, IDG News Service

Friday, February 15, 2008 7:00 AM PST

Nintendo's popular Wii game console will displace Microsoft's Xbox 360 as the new-generation game machine, iSuppli said Thursday.

The market researcher forecasted that the global installed base of Wii game consoles will rise to 30.2 million units in 2008, up from 18 million in 2007, putting it ahead of the Xbox 360's projected 25.7 million units.

The Wii is already riding a wave of popularity that saw it win the greatest growth among new game consoles last year, according to iSuppli figures. There were only 3.2 million units in people's homes at the end of 2006, jumping to 18 million at the end of last year. The Xbox 360 retained its lead as the console in most homes last year by edging out the Wii with 18.2 million units, while the PlayStation 3 lagged rivals with 10.3 million, up from 1.8 million per year earlier.

iSuppli did not include older game consoles or handhelds in their report.

The market researcher chalks up Nintendo's success to a strategy of offering a lower-cost game console targeted at everyday people, rather than an expensive console with the latest graphics aimed at video game lovers. The main difference between the Wii and its rivals is the wireless controller and sensors that detect hand motion and speed. The innovation puts motion into gaming, because users swing the Wii controller to hit virtual baseballs and golf balls on their TV screens, go bowling and fight in boxing.

The Wii currently sells for $249.99 in the U.S., according to electronic retailer Best Buy's Web site, while the Xbox 360 costs $349.99 and the PlayStation 3 $399.99.

 

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WTF? Xbox 360 at 18.2 million units at the end of 2007? Wii at 18 million (with Nintendo saying they shipped 20.13 million...)??

Also, Wii selling 12.2 million during 2008 when (according to them) it sold 15 million during 2007?

I really hope that the people in the industry have better sources than this... They can't even get their 2007 numbers right.

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

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HappySqurriel on 17 February 2008

So, it appears that iSuppli believes that the Wii will continue to sell well until June and then stop selling all together ...



libellule on 17 February 2008

I have find this article before
the Wii under the Xbox360 WW was unexpected but it is because I support VGC
At the end, who knows the truth ....



Time to Work !

NJ5 on 17 February 2008
libellule said:
I have find this article before
the Wii under the Xbox360 WW was unexpected but it is because I support VGC
At the end, who knows the truth ....

It's very simple. We know Nintendo had shipped 20.13 million Wiis by the end of 2007, and it's impossible for 2 million Wiis to be sitting on shelves because:

1) The Wii was sold out practically everywhere at that time.

2) In any case, 2 million is not a normal number for consoles sitting on the retail channel.

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

super_etecoon on 17 February 2008

What is most interesting about this article (I read it via Kotaku, if I remember right) is that it also includes a graph (not included in this post) that shows the projected LTD for all the consoles. Interestingly enough they believe that all consoles combined will sell fewer units than the PS2 alone. They also think that in its final year the Wii will hit 40 million....then slide down to 37 million in time for the PS3 to hit 40. How does a console unsell? Not even the Rrod 360 can unsell.



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Desroko on 17 February 2008

These are the same guys who predicted - roughly, I don't remember exactly - 30-35m for each of the consoles at the end of this gen. In other words, a massive, catastrophic contraction.



libellule on 17 February 2008

u are right NJ5,

I guess they work for MS and they try to make some damage control fo them

"the Xbox360 is still the leading console"



Time to Work !

NJ5 on 17 February 2008

They're also the same company which made the PS3/360 cost estimates everyone was taking as gospel. I have to say that even I took them more seriously than they deserved, obviously.

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

brute on 17 February 2008
super_etecoon said:
What is most interesting about this article (I read it via Kotaku, if I remember right) is that it also includes a graph (not included in this post) that shows the projected LTD for all the consoles. Interestingly enough they believe that all consoles combined will sell fewer units than the PS2 alone. They also think that in its final year the Wii will hit 40 million....then slide down to 37 million in time for the PS3 to hit 40. How does a console unsell? Not even the Rrod 360 can unsell.

WTF are they even serious



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

super_etecoon on 17 February 2008
brute said:
super_etecoon said:
What is most interesting about this article (I read it via Kotaku, if I remember right) is that it also includes a graph (not included in this post) that shows the projected LTD for all the consoles. Interestingly enough they believe that all consoles combined will sell fewer units than the PS2 alone. They also think that in its final year the Wii will hit 40 million....then slide down to 37 million in time for the PS3 to hit 40. How does a console unsell? Not even the Rrod 360 can unsell.

WTF are they even serious


 here's the graph....and here's the link.