I think it will sell 7mil
How Much Will NSMBU Sell Lifetime? | |||
| The Impossible! (10mil+) | 64 | 56.14% | |
| About 9mil | 4 | 3.51% | |
| About 8mil | 8 | 7.02% | |
| About 7mil | 13 | 11.40% | |
| About 6mil | 16 | 14.04% | |
| No Less Than 5mil | 9 | 7.89% | |
| Total: | 114 | ||
Considering how it will likely be bundled on and off for years to come, how people love 2D Mario, and how the Wii U will likely be on the market through 2017, I think it can. 2 million a year for the rest of the Wii U's life would be more than enough, and can be done even if the Wii U sells as little as 25 or 30 million.
For all we know part of Nintendo's next strategy is a triple bundle. One retail game in the box and download codes for Nintendoland and Super Mario Bros U. So ongoing its in every wii u pack.

Depends on bundles.
If there's a Mario Kart 8 bundle at the same price, most people will choose MK8 over NSMBU.
Another question that could be interesting: how long will NSMBU be the best-selling 8th-gen game and which one will surpass it first (on a single console)? Mario Kart? Call of Duty? GTA?

| Seece said: If it continues to be bundled, of course. |
This.
It all depends on how often it's bundled long term. I suspect that it will be replaced with 3D World over time, though, so I'll say no.
Mario games are extremely leggy, bundled and last for a long time so its extremely hard to predict but 5 million is a possibility. I'm more impressed of the tie ratio between Super Mario Bros Wii U and the Wii U sales rather than the actual sales of the game itself.
As a bundle I can see it doing 10 million easily over its life time (assuming 5-6 years barring any drastic management/policy change at Nintendo HQ).
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