I'm guessing ps4 will have about 50% more sales than the xbox one, and the xbox one will have 50-100% more sales.
Which console will have the most Lifetime sales by the end of 2014? | |||
Wii U | 210 | 25.55% | |
PS4 | 569 | 69.22% | |
Xbox One | 42 | 5.11% | |
Total: | 821 |
I'm guessing ps4 will have about 50% more sales than the xbox one, and the xbox one will have 50-100% more sales.
Here's a simple stat Joe, by NPD.
End of 2007 in the US, 360 sales were 9.1m, Halo 3 sales were 4.8m
Even if XB1 hardware sales (really) disappointed and sold 4.5m (2.5m in US in 2014 seems unlikely but lets go with it) that's 2.4m in the US alone for Halo 5.
Seece said:
What? It's gonna end 2013 with 1.5m - 1.8m judging by UK trends and 3m+ shipped. |
lol I know you can't fathom the XBONE having a less than stellar year. I can fully see it doing better than that, but I really just went with the simplicity of half the 360 sales.
I do wonder though. If you see 5 million as the minimum for US LTD by the end of 2014, what are you predicting it'll sell?
EDT: I see your other post.
Seece said:
Whaaa? It's not even near 1m yet. |
back with the fallacies. how could nsmbu sell 20m+ on a 4M installed base? and you mentioned the ltd of the predecessor.
Mario 3d world is at 1.3m with the december 21 numbers. the two following charts will put it really close to 2m = it will do 2m soon enough.
JoeTheBro said:
lol I know you can't fathom the XBONE having a less than stellar year. I can fully see it doing better than that, but I really just went with the simplicity of half the 360 sales. I do wonder though. If you see 5 million as the minimum for US LTD by the end of 2014, what are you predicting it'll sell? EDT: I see your other post. |
100k average a month, 1m in Nov and 1m in Dec, and an extra 200k in September. = 5m~ Which IS terrible, I'm not expecting steller sales for XB1 until it gets a $100 cut.
But as you can see from Halo 3, by end of 07 its attach rate without mass bundling was over 50%.
small44 said:
A bigger userbase won't chance anything if those new peoples aren't interested on those games or prefer to buy them on ps4/xboxone. Aren't pc got games later then console version and with console you don't need to change ram and graphics card to play all the games i think that's why some people prefer consoles over pc. |
I am sorry, but unfortunately I do not understand how can you state that a bigger userbase won't change a thing. It's simple logic, a bigger userbase means more people out there to buy games, and if you do proper marketing your game can reach these people, resulting in a more probable comercial success. A 5m userbase isn't the same as a 20 million userbase.
Sometimes, yes. PC users have to wait more as it's the case right now with GTA V, but at the same time, most of the games release at the same time in all platforms. 8 GB RAM is enough for gaming, and then you just have to worry about getting a good graphic card and CPU and once you do, then you're all set for 1080@60fps. But hey, this is a thread about consoles sales predictions for 2014, we don't want to de-rail the thread with a PC and consoles power discussion, do we? That said, we should focus on the thread's topic.
Back to topic, and particularly our discussion, I believe that if third partys did quality software for Nintendo and cleaned their names they would break the "TP dev makes a cheap (and so, inferior) port to prevent risk of losing money -> TP Game port sells bad -> Repeat from step 1" cycle and then they would sell well enough. I am not saying ALL companies are like that, but most of them are, and so, third-party games in general sell bad because of this bad reputation. Again, the logic is simple: Who would buy an inferior (Not just graphically) version of a game?
Zero999 said:
back with the fallacies. how could nsmbu sell 20m+ on a 4M installed base? and you mentioned the ltd of the predecessor. Mario 3d world is at 1.3m with the december 21 numbers. the two following charts will put it really close to 2m = it will do 2m soon enough. |
I wasn't, which is why I'm baffled people think DK ect will do so well and are using Wii as a metric. You can't do that, it's the WiiU.
It's not anywhere near 2m, the charts will be adjusted. You're expecting ridiculous sales in December which just aren't going to happen. Like I said, 500k in NA, 400k in Japan, 300k in Europe, 100k elsewhere = 1.3m end of the year.
Seece said:
I wasn't, which is why I'm baffled people think DK ect will do so well and are using Wii as a metric. You can't do that, it's the WiiU. |
if the charts of dec 21 puts it at 1.3m, then RIGHT NOW, january 4th, it's really close to 2m. if the charts are adjusted, it will be up.
Zero999 said:
if the charts of dec 21 puts it at 1.3m, then RIGHT NOW, january 4th, it's really close to 2m. if the charts are adjusted, it will be up. |
Based on what? Your hopes? Because nothing suggests it will be up. It did 215k in November NPD and you're expecting 600k+ for December. That isn't logical based on November sales. So yeah, it'll be adjusted down in January when we get full figures. Brace yourself.