Sony's predicting 5 million, so what do you think? I'm expecting Sony's prediction to be correct, but some people obviously won't agree with me.

5.6M

5.5 million. It's a tough guess though. Supply and Demand can be a funny thing, especially after Christmas time.

Are we talking shipped or sold through?
Either way I picked 6 million (my guess would be ~6 million shipped and ~5.5 million sold through)

It's painfully obvious that Sony gave an intentionally low estimate when they predicted 3 million in the calendar year. They're already less than a million away with all of December still to come. On the other hand 2 million is a relatively large amount to ship in the January-March quarter. Personally I think they'll ship about 4 million this quarter and just south of 2 million in the next so I'll say total shipments will be about 5.8 million at the end of the fiscal year.

I'll take Sony's 5 Million. They'll probably sell through all that stock so it's just a case of they can only produce ~5 Million by March '14.

6.5 million

6mil

If Sony intends to ship 1 million units a month, 5 million is a minimum. I believe 5.5 mil is a possibility, and 6 mil is the maximum.

I'll go with 4-5 Million.