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Forums - Sony - Poll: Can the PS3 hit 100 million lifetime?

 

Will the PS3 break 100 million when all is said and done?

No 294 42.30%
 
Yes 229 32.95%
 
Yes, and it will beat the Wii too 172 24.75%
 
Total:695

DietSoap said:

That is a really interesting estimate, could you elaborate a little on how you think it'll get there?

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=150842



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Mid 90's is my guess, 100 seems like a stretch. It doesn't matter if the PS2 sold a bunch after the PS3 released, they are two extremely different consoles competing in two different markets.



Of course. It has less than 20M to go to pass the 100M mark. Only simple-minded people can't see it.



It will, easily. It has yet to reach the $150-$120 price point in the next three to four years.



Mummelmann said:
Mid 90's is my guess, 100 seems like a stretch. It doesn't matter if the PS2 sold a bunch after the PS3 released, they are two extremely different consoles competing in two different markets.


Mind explaining how you go to the mid 90s number?



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Lawlight said:
Of course. It has less than 20M to go to pass the 100M mark. Only simple-minded people can't see it.


You sure about that? It appears on track to sell somewhere around 8 million this year, it's bound to drop a lot next year due to the shift in focus onto the 8th gen. It would need 3-4 more good years on the market to reach 100 million lifetime. Or an incredibly long life, PS2 level long at that.

It just doesn't seem likely at this point. It remains to be seen how much thunder the PS4/One steals, it the PS3 drops below 5 million or so for 2014 CY, there's just no way, in my opinion.

Edit; mid 90's numbers, next year, I expect a severe drop, perhaps half of 2013 numbers, that would be around 4 million and approx lifetime sales of 86-87 million, further drop in 2015, down to 2-3 million, bumping it into 90-ish. The PS3 won't remain strong, or even relevant, for anywhere near as long as the PS2, this is such a vastly different situation to the end of the 6th gen where the PS2 had record marketshare, sole support and no competition to speak of.



Doubtful.

The PS3 had an amazing year of software and that didnt push enough units.



Mummelmann said:
Lawlight said:
Of course. It has less than 20M to go to pass the 100M mark. Only simple-minded people can't see it.


You sure about that? It appears on track to sell somewhere around 8 million this year, it's bound to drop a lot next year due to the shift in focus onto the 8th gen. It would need 3-4 more good years on the market to reach 100 million lifetime. Or an incredibly long life, PS2 level long at that.

It just doesn't seem likely at this point. It remains to be seen how much thunder the PS4/One steals, it the PS3 drops below 5 million or so for 2014 CY, there's just no way, in my opinion.

Edit; mid 90's numbers, next year, I expect a severe drop, perhaps half of 2013 numbers, that would be around 4 million and approx lifetime sales of 86-87 million, further drop in 2015, down to 2-3 million, bumping it into 90-ish. The PS3 won't remain strong, or even relevant, for anywhere near as long as the PS2, this is such a vastly different situation to the end of the 6th gen where the PS2 had record marketshare, sole support and no competition to speak of.


It sold around 6M from January to September. And you're saying that it will only 2M from October to December? So, the same number of PS3s from October to December as they did from July to September?

In light of the above evidence, do you want to revise your statement?

Plus, what makes you say that the PS3 won't remain strong for more than the next 2 years?



Once it goes down to $150, a lot of people will pick it up as a blu-ray player with a couple of games.



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

Too many damn people have blu-ray players.

PS3 will eek out around 97 million in 3 years.