Poll: Can the PS3 hit 100 million lifetime?

[Lawlight]

Mummelmann said:

Lawlight said:
Of course. It has less than 20M to go to pass the 100M mark. Only simple-minded people can't see it.

You sure about that? It appears on track to sell somewhere around 8 million this year, it's bound to drop a lot next year due to the shift in focus onto the 8th gen. It would need 3-4 more good years on the market to reach 100 million lifetime. Or an incredibly long life, PS2 level long at that.

It just doesn't seem likely at this point. It remains to be seen how much thunder the PS4/One steals, it the PS3 drops below 5 million or so for 2014 CY, there's just no way, in my opinion.

Edit; mid 90's numbers, next year, I expect a severe drop, perhaps half of 2013 numbers, that would be around 4 million and approx lifetime sales of 86-87 million, further drop in 2015, down to 2-3 million, bumping it into 90-ish. The PS3 won't remain strong, or even relevant, for anywhere near as long as the PS2, this is such a vastly different situation to the end of the 6th gen where the PS2 had record marketshare, sole support and no competition to speak of.

It sold around 6M from January to September. And you're saying that it will only 2M from October to December? So, the same number of PS3s from October to December as they did from July to September?

In light of the above evidence, do you want to revise your statement?

Plus, what makes you say that the PS3 won't remain strong for more than the next 2 years?