3Ds was never in that bad of shape. Iys a terrible example

Nintendo's plans to sell 9 million WiiU this fiscal year suggests we might actually see another price cut before the end of the fiscal year. I would say a likely scenario is a price cut in januari, after christmas sales.

Even though I find it very unlikely for Nintendo to reach their target for this fiscal year, I do believe WiiU still has potential to be a success.

There are three major issues to be dealt with;

1) Price and value
2) The quantity of exclusive high quality and high profile software
3) How well or bad the competitors' execute their market strategy between november 2013 and march 2014


Bare in mind that Nintendo will have an advantage of 4 million systems sold before PS4 and XboxOne have reached the shelves. Even though both Sony and Microsoft will eat into that advantage quite fast, it'll most likely take them 4 months to reach a comparable figure. Also bare in mind that once PS4 and XboxOne are out, sales of the current generation will gradualy implode, giving room for WiiU to gain marketshare. Considering we will most likely see a shortage of PS4 and XboxOne during the first 3-6 months, WiiU also has a chance to gain some momentum at the expense of its newer rivals.

The million dollar question is; considering the above facts, how far off is Iwata with his sales prediction of 9 million WiiU this fiscal year? I'd say he will be 2-4 million systems off, depending on a price cut in January.

I don't think any company has price cut in the month of January, it's probably the worst time. When Nintendo price cut it's either around May or August/September. (Actually that goes for all of the big 3)

A price cut with Mario Kart makes more sense, no point in cutting price with no SW, and Donkey Kong isn't big enough to spur on sales, well not as big as MK anyway.

Not to mention WiiU is losing them money, and he has a lofty profit goal to reach, if they cut price by even $50 then they'll lose tonnes!

Still, there won't be a price cut, they always make a big deal out of it and apologise for price cutting, at best I think September 2014 either $50/$100.

But its christmas and mario 3d coming, it still can hit big

Well, hitting it big for the Wii U is shipping more than 2mil in the next three months. Hitting it big as in 5mil+... well talk to retailers about that. I doubt theyll accept that many when they accepted only 3mil last year and those sat around for weeks/months after the holiday

thank you max king, that is a nightmare damn

I'm glad someone mentions number 3, this could be quite the topic for discussion in coming years. The way it stands right now, both the PS4 and the One could pass the Wii U fairly quickly without actually selling that well, it's all about Nintendo making bad decisions and performing poorly for some time now. A low quantity to measure against might make you look good without actually doing all that much, and vice versa.

I do think that a lot of people will be disappointed with the PS4 and One sales-wise, the expectations are sky high and then some.

I predict 3-4 million more Wii U's sold by March. That puts it at 7-8 million.

Yes it is a nightmare as of now. I personally think it will be a successful platform for Nintendo and a viable platform for 3rd parties but i dont think it will perform nearly as well as many people think it will.

4 million more by the end of March seems likely, I agree. Then perhaps 13-14 million lifetime by CY 2014 if they step it up a notch.