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Forums - Nintendo - WIIU owners: where do you see it in 3 years?

 

WiiU in 3 years:

9 million units install base. 62 21.38%
 
19 million units install base. 72 24.83%
 
29 million units install base. 90 31.03%
 
39 million units install base. 65 22.41%
 
Total:289
Damian.W on 28 September 2013
Captain_Tom said:
Damian.W said:
Max King of the Wild said:
Damian.W said:
I doubt it will surpass lifetime sales of what the PS3/Xbox360 have now, but I have faith that it will go past 60m. Just like the PS3 and 3DS, the massive need for change will result in the Wii U getting exclusive games that no-one can resists, much like The Last Of Us, Uncharted, and God Of War did for PS3.



It will not hit 60mil. The Wii had the shortest life span and it was number 1 last gen. The Wii U will not have nearly as long as the Wii which didnt have nearly as long as the Ps360 and it would need the ps360 type lifespan for 60million. Not only that but the games you listed are Sony 1st party titles and Nintendo isn't known for making games like that.

 

What do you mean Nintendo can't make games like that? Sony's PS3 struggled last gen with terible losses, and by using their 1st party companies, they turned it around and barely survived. Nintendo can easily fund a project to make large-scale games with mass appeal and bring in sales. 

Maybe my 60m sales are, in fact, way off. But to say that there is NO chance of it is like the issue with the PS3 and 3ds. Everyone downgraded them as failures that would fair in the market. The PS3 was recieving garbage ports from the 360, so what made them wrong? The 3ds was in competition with the graphically more powerful PS Vita, so what made them wrong?

He means they don't make games like that.   You are forgetting that PS3 got equal 3rd party support, and Wii U is close to recieving none...

Yes, and Sony depended on platformers during the PS2 days. 

Nintendo can make whatever the heck it wants. Sure, they havn't done anything like those kinds of games yet (Excluding the Xeno series, Metroid Prime 3: Corruption, and Majoras Mask/Twilight Princess) but neither did Sony. They focused on platformers, and when demand for shooters and aventure games came, they changed. If this gen proves to Nintendo that they need to change their philiosphy on what gamers demand, then they'll change. 



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Multi-console Owner FTW

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Screamapillar on 28 September 2013

At or moderately above GameCube-levels. Not too terrible, but nothing to make their shareholders excited.



The Screamapillar is easily identified by its constant screaming—it even screams in its sleep. The Screamapillar is the favorite food of everything, is sexually attracted to fire, and needs constant reassurance or it will die.

Max King of the Wild on 28 September 2013
Damian.W said:

Yes, and Sony depended on platformers during the PS2 days. 

Nintendo can make whatever the heck it wants. Sure, they havn't done anything like those kinds of games yet (Excluding the Xeno series, Metroid Prime 3: Corruption, and Majoras Mask/Twilight Princess) but neither did Sony. They focused on platformers, and when demand for shooters and aventure games came, they changed. If this gen proves to Nintendo that they need to change their philiosphy on what gamers demand, then they'll change. 

Wow... first of all the shooter developers have mostly always been shooter companies. Insomniac made R&C and disrupter game before they were named insomniac before making Resistance. Naughty Dog made the Jak series before making Uncharted. Guerilla Games first game was a vietnam game and then Killzone before they became a part of Sony. Zipper made Death Drome, Top Gun, Recoil, Mech Warrior, and Crimson skies before SOCOM with Sony.



MDMAlliance on 28 September 2013
Captain_Tom said:
Honestly it will sell at most 5 million in its first year. Anyone who thinks it will sell 39 mil in 3 years is delusional...


Not sure what you mean.  Do you mean by the time the Wii U is 365 days old?



zorg1000 on 28 September 2013
Max King of the Wild said:
DucksUnlimited said:

I don't think hitting 7m this FY is such a crazy idea. They're releasing tons of big hitters and have a very affordable console. I guess we'll just have to see what the software does for it this holiday.

Well they already had 1st quarter and they only shipped 0.16mil units. That means they need to ship 6.84mil more to reach 7mil... or 181,000 weekly... let's face it Nintendo did't ship 2.4mil this quarter. Probably around the same as last quarters number... but I'll be generous and say it shipped the same as Q4 last FY year (0.39mil). That leaves 6.45mil for 6 months... or 263,000 weekly...Well, this is the quarter that Nintendo needs to make up ground for that. Do you see them shipping that number anytime soon? You think stores are going to accept that kind of stock when they can't even move that volume in 3 months? Do you even think they will have a week before BF that even tops that figure? I very sincerely doubt it. That's another 2 months away. Even if they sell half that in the next 8 weeks (which is very very generous) leading up to BF that would be 300,000 weekly from BF on out...  I don't think they'll do that in Q4 which would make damn near 800k a week from BF - Dec 31st.

7mil is very difficult for Nintendo but not impossible.

Gamecube shipped 80,000 units from April-June 2003, the total fiscal year shipments were 5.02 million. Thats shows a console can have a horrible first quarter and come back later in the year. Wii U shipped 160,000 April-June of this year so 7 million is possible.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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zorg1000 on 28 September 2013

3 years from now Wii U will be getting its last solid wave of first party titles for holiday 2016 with its successor coming the following year



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Dr.EisDrachenJaeger on 28 September 2013

Nah^



zorg1000 on 28 September 2013
Dr.EisDrachenJaeger said:
Nah^


Elaborate



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Max King of the Wild on 28 September 2013
zorg1000 said:

Gamecube shipped 80,000 units from April-June 2003, the total fiscal year shipments were 5.02 million. Thats shows a console can have a horrible first quarter and come back later in the year. Wii U shipped 160,000 April-June of this year so 7 million is possible.

Oh yes, the infamous cutting the price of it's original by half before it hits it's second anniversary on the market. Sorry, the situations are not very similar. The gamecubes price went from 150 to sub 100 and a year before went from 200 to 150. That first price drop didn't help it out much did it? Dont expect the same results for the Wii U. Maybe if Nintendo cut the Wii U by 1/3rd like GC then we would see a huge come back like that. Or maybe Nintendo will just cut the Wii U's price next year to $200



Dr.EisDrachenJaeger on 28 September 2013
zorg1000 said:
Dr.EisDrachenJaeger said:
Nah^


Elaborate


Nintendo wont make any money off of that .