1.2m - 1.5m for America
0.6m - 0.9m for Others
I give it 2.2m for both together + 0.85 for Japan so 3m opening sales.
It'll pass halo by June.
I don't see it doing first week.
Halo 3 was just far, FAR too hyped in the US, and SSBB by comparison isn't 1/10th as hyped.
"I mean, c'mon, Viva Pinata, a game with massive marketing, didn't sell worth a damn to the "sophisticated" 360 audience, despite near-universal praise--is that a sign that 360 owners are a bunch of casual ignoramuses that can't get their heads around a 'gardening' sim? Of course not. So let's please stop trying to micro-analyze one game out of hundreds and using it as the poster child for why good, non-1st party, games can't sell on Wii. (Everyone frequenting this site knows this is nonsense, and yet some of you just can't let it go because it's the only scab you have left to pick at after all your other "Wii will phail1!!1" straw men arguments have been put to the torch.)" - exindguy on Boom Blocks
Smash_Brother.
It doesn't have to sell as much as Halo 3 in USA, since JapanSSBB /=/ Japan + Europe Halo 3. Therefore Europe + USA SSBB needs to > Halo 3 USA.
2.9M for Europe + USA is a definate possibility.
As I mentioned earlier, the attachment rate for Europe + USA SSBB only needs to be 1/6, while Halo 3 had 1/3.
SSBB had 1/6.1 in Japan. USA is even more first day buyers, while Europe not so much.
If we say Europe has an attachment rate of 1/10, which is lower than I believe, it sells 700K + there. That means Brawl has to sell 2.2M in USA. That is a 1/4.5 attachment rate.
If we say Europe has an attachment rate of 1/8 that means it sells 900K, which leaves 2M to USA. That's 1/5 attachment rate.
If I had to say changes for 1st day sales > Halo, I'd say 42 %
http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261
That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS
| supermario128 said: SSBB will sell more opening week and lifetime. |
prob not opening week cause Halo has the biggest opening week ever
Wiiforever, what kind of argument is that? I mean, that's like saying PSX can't sell 80M because NES did it.
I'd rather say the changes are HIGHER for SSBB having the highest first week ever, because Halo 3 did it. That means it is possible doing, and Wii has a 40 % bigger base that 360 had at the time. Read my post above you to see my reasoning (I assume you didn't before)
http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261
That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS
brawl won't make it, nintendo won't be shipping 2 million units too NA first week
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What do you think how often SSBB is sold in it´s first week in North Amerika??
"If they ship it, we will buy"
Whether they will be able to, I think, is an open question, though odds are not great.
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In Ltd sales Brawl will easily outsell H3
But in first week sales it all depends Nintendo's ability so ship enough copies to release (and hope that Eu release date is soon)(damn, how many copies they could have sold in Japan if they wouldn't had need supply constrained...damn)
Nothing's cheaper than something free.
F1 vs FOTA, when too much power is in couple peoples hands.
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I don't see how Brawl would beat Halo 3 in the American charts.... I mean it was something like 2.8 million the first week? It could outsell Halo 3 in the long run though, as it will probably be a much better game.
BTW -- The majority of SSB fans are not "casuals."
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