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Forums - Gaming Discussion - What Will PS4 lifetime Sales Be? (Vita+WiiU Link Inside)

KingdomHeartsFan on 04 September 2013

105m



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Jizz_Beard_thePirate on 04 September 2013

80 million



                  

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Proxy-Pie on 04 September 2013

Somewhere around 60 million, I don't expect any Wiis this gen.



JoeTheBro on 04 September 2013
MohammadBadir said:
Somewhere around 60 million, I don't expect any Wiis this gen.

What about PS1s or PS2s?



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binary solo on 04 September 2013

Microsoft says next gen will get 1 billion unit's sales, so Wii U = 50 million, Xb one = 65 million, thus PS4 will sell 885 million lifetime.



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para182 on 04 September 2013

70 - 90 mil would be a realistic guess..possibly 100+ don't expect this gen to last as long as ps3 vs 360. 



Metallicube on 04 September 2013
Sensei said:
Metallicube said:

If we are to believe that PS3 will end up with about 90 mil, which I think seems pretty reasonable.. then PS4 I'd put down for a bit less than that, considering the state of the economy, and the fact that this console doesn't seem to change much from PS3 aside from graphics, and may be difficult to justify purchase from some PS3 owners.. I'd say around 75-80 million.


75-80 million is a bit too conservative IMHO if you consider that even the PS3 did these numbers already and:

a). PS3 faced fierce competition from Xbox 360, one of the most balanced console fights ever, since Genesis X Super NES;
b). PS3 went up against the Wii fad;
c). PS3 launched at 599 and had terrible reputation, among other things;
d). PS3 is at around 80M and shows no sign of stopping sales any soon despite its terrible start.

On the other hand, PS4 is launching cheaper than the competition (Xbone), has a lot of good press going for it, has momentum from this generation's end (PS3 is the winner atm), has extremely strong third party support, Nintendo is not doing so well this time around (Wii U in dire straits, although I believe it will improve soon, it hardly will be a Wii again).

So all things considered Sony will have to mess up a lot to sell only 80M PS4's, or the market will crash and burn really hard for that to happen.

Stopped reading there



legend92(3) on 04 September 2013

Depends on how fast Sony can produce them, I think a maximum of 12-15 million a year for about 6/7 years so about 80-100 million



Mummelmann on 04 September 2013

Impossible to make any good predictions without any market data at all but I do believe it will sell quite a bit less than the PS3, perhaps about 75-80 million lifetime.

PS: Metallicube, you think the PS3 will only sell another 11 million in its entire lifespan? That seems like a very low estimate to me, unless one expects all 7th gen consoles to basically stop moving at all when the 8th gen grid is out and about. Granted, it won't be anywhere near PS2 or PS1 but should be able to sell at least another 15-20 million, emerging markets, rebuys and the small crowd that are content with entering the 7th gen over the next 5 years should provide them with that.



prayformojo on 04 September 2013

125 million. Yes, I said 125 million. lol