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Forums - Sales - From what I have seen people say, the Xbone and PS4 will outsell the Wii U by the end of this year?

Max King of the Wild on 27 August 2013
zorg1000 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
zorg1000 said:
Sales by Jan 1 2014

Wii U 6-7 million

PS4 2.5-3.5 million

ONE 1.5-2.5 million

I just cant fathom either of these consoles selling twice as much as Wii, the fastest selling console of all time, in the same time frame.


Nintendo didn't expect that much in sales by the Wii or else they would have produce more before launch and they didn't expect it because the Nintendo came off of N64 then GC. The Wii was severly supply constrained and didn't have 1 million in preorders either. Both consoles will sell more than the Wii for the first holiday season.


I highly doubt Sony is going to ship over 6 million PS4 in a matter of 6 weeks.

Nintendo sold like 5.8mil in 5 months... where are you getting your figures from?



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zorg1000 on 27 August 2013
Max King of the Wild said:
zorg1000 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
zorg1000 said:
Sales by Jan 1 2014

Wii U 6-7 million

PS4 2.5-3.5 million

ONE 1.5-2.5 million

I just cant fathom either of these consoles selling twice as much as Wii, the fastest selling console of all time, in the same time frame.


Nintendo didn't expect that much in sales by the Wii or else they would have produce more before launch and they didn't expect it because the Nintendo came off of N64 then GC. The Wii was severly supply constrained and didn't have 1 million in preorders either. Both consoles will sell more than the Wii for the first holiday season.


I highly doubt Sony is going to ship over 6 million PS4 in a matter of 6 weeks.

Nintendo sold like 5.8mil in 5 months... where are you getting your figures from?


Wii U will be roughly around 6 million by the end of the year, possibly more. PS4 will be on the market for 6 weeks and will need to sell 6 million in that time frame to pass Wii U lifetime sales this year.

I never said PS4/One couldnt outsell Wii launch but they would have to double that and im not seeing it.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Max King of the Wild on 27 August 2013
zorg1000 said:


Wii U will be roughly around 6 million by the end of the year, possibly more. PS4 will be on the market for 6 weeks and will need to sell 6 million in that time frame to pass Wii U lifetime sales this year.

I never said PS4/One couldnt outsell Wii launch but they would have to double that and im not seeing it.

Well, it will definatly sell over 1 million launch week. And if Sony has supply sorted out it should sell over 1 million Christmas week and should sell close to 1 million BF week (Again if sony has it sorted out). I think people are going to be surprised.



Hibern81 on 28 August 2013
spurgeonryan said:
eFKac said:
By year's end? As much as I would love that to happen, it ain't happening. By the end of 2014? Yeah probably, at least one of them.


I do not know about that. Wii U is only at 3.40 million according to Vgchartz. With all the hype, I see these guys pushing close to a million a week as long as there are no stock or shipment problems. People are going crazy over these two upcoming systems. PS4 more than Xbone it seems, but they will still both be huge I think.

If they launch too early there may be some smaller weeks, but closer to black Friday and Christmas and they will be up near a million a week again. Wii U could be passed up, unless it just happens to do really well too. I am not too faithful that it's line up of games can do it. Another Mario game? Maybe, it has worked in the passed, Maybe I am not the only one who is tired of seeing Mario monthly. We will see.


A million a week?  Is that combined sales?  Even then that's pretty optimistic. I really can't see them producing enough to keep up with that kind of demand week in and week out.



"Games are a trigger for adults to again become primitive, primal, as a way of thinking and remembering. An adult is a child who has more ethics and morals, that's all. When I am a child, creating, I am not creating a game. I am in the game. The game is not for children, it is for me. It is for an adult who still has a character of a child."

 

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zorg1000 on 28 August 2013
Max King of the Wild said:
zorg1000 said:


Wii U will be roughly around 6 million by the end of the year, possibly more. PS4 will be on the market for 6 weeks and will need to sell 6 million in that time frame to pass Wii U lifetime sales this year.

I never said PS4/One couldnt outsell Wii launch but they would have to double that and im not seeing it.

Well, it will definatly sell over 1 million launch week. And if Sony has supply sorted out it should sell over 1 million Christmas week and should sell close to 1 million BF week (Again if sony has it sorted out). I think people are going to be surprised.

One thing to take Into account also Is It only has 4 weeks In Europe. Best case scenario in my opinion, it ships 4 million by years end. I personally think 3 million is more likely.

Just for reference, what is the most a console has ever sold in 6 weeks?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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HigHurtenflurst on 28 August 2013
zorg1000 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
zorg1000 said:


Wii U will be roughly around 6 million by the end of the year, possibly more. PS4 will be on the market for 6 weeks and will need to sell 6 million in that time frame to pass Wii U lifetime sales this year.

I never said PS4/One couldnt outsell Wii launch but they would have to double that and im not seeing it.

Well, it will definatly sell over 1 million launch week. And if Sony has supply sorted out it should sell over 1 million Christmas week and should sell close to 1 million BF week (Again if sony has it sorted out). I think people are going to be surprised.

One thing to take Into account also Is It only has 4 weeks In Europe. Best case scenario in my opinion, it ships 4 million by years end. I personally think 3 million is more likely.

Just for reference, what is the most a console has ever sold in 6 weeks?

I think it was DS in 2008 managed over 9 million in 6 weeks.

Home console I think it was Wii in the same year with about 7 million.



zorg1000 on 28 August 2013
HigHurtenflurst said:
zorg1000 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
zorg1000 said:


Wii U will be roughly around 6 million by the end of the year, possibly more. PS4 will be on the market for 6 weeks and will need to sell 6 million in that time frame to pass Wii U lifetime sales this year.

I never said PS4/One couldnt outsell Wii launch but they would have to double that and im not seeing it.

Well, it will definatly sell over 1 million launch week. And if Sony has supply sorted out it should sell over 1 million Christmas week and should sell close to 1 million BF week (Again if sony has it sorted out). I think people are going to be surprised.

One thing to take Into account also Is It only has 4 weeks In Europe. Best case scenario in my opinion, it ships 4 million by years end. I personally think 3 million is more likely.

Just for reference, what is the most a console has ever sold in 6 weeks?

I think it was DS in 2008 managed over 9 million in 6 weeks.

Home console I think it was Wii in the same year with about 7 million.

Sorry meant first 6 weeks



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Conegamer on 28 August 2013

Doubful, simply because I doubt they can produce that many systems for launch.

The PS4 will come closest, right? So here's how I see it going:

W1: 700k
W2: 480k
W3: 780k (EU launch)
W4: 500k
W5: 580k
W6: 300k (last week in the year)

Total: 3.34mil

So I'd say it should be around 3-3.5mil come the end of the year, and the XBone about 1mil less. Whereas the Wii U should be over 6mil come the end of the year.

Just my personal thoughts, but I don't see it doing better than the Wii. That thing was literally an explosion of excitement, most importantly, outside of gaming circles. And I do believe both new systems will hurt each other sales-wise.



 

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DestructorGT on 28 August 2013

And Wii U sold how much units ?



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Max King of the Wild on 28 August 2013

I dont know who started the 6 weeks but they are wrong. Its 8.
15-16 = 1st week.
17-23=2
24-30=3
1-7=4
8-14=5
15-21=6
22-28=7
29-4=8