Yep, this. Though all should be above 1mil, or close to it, aside from Rayman. 

You realize the Wii U only has two million sellers, right?

It's only been out for 9 months. This thread is about lifetime sales.

Wonderful 101 really is a wildcard here. There's nothing really to predict sales by. It could flop, it could be a sleeper hit. It'd say sales are 1m +/- 70% .

And to be honest, the Yoshi game they showed would've sold like, 4m if it was on Wii. So even if it ends up doing half of that on WiiU, none of the others are going to get close to that. Because we're now putting numbers behind them, I'll repost my list with some (lifetime) numbers:

1. Yarn Yoshi (2.0m)
2. Sonic Lost World (1.3m)
3. X (0.9m)
4. Wonderful 101 (0.3m-1.7m )
5. Bayonetta 2 (0.6m)
6. Rayman Legends (0.2m)

Yoshi is the only one on the list that will have great legs and also the only game I expect to break a million.

Take the Vita for example. It is approaching its second year and its arguably best game, which was a launch title (Uncharted), hasn't even cracked a million. It should take this holiday to finally pass that. Do you really expect a bunch of 3rd party non casual games on a Nintendo system with a similar install base to do better/the same?

Or just look at the Wii U's games. None of the 3rd party games released so far have even a .001% chance of breaking a million lifetime.

Yes, I do expect Wii U's top third party sellers to do better than Vita's sellers to date, because Wii U will exceed Vita's current hardware sales by a lot.

Sonic has historically done well on Nintendo hardware.

Your point being? If you don't think the top 2 won't pass a million with ease, then I don't know what to say. X should trundle past it. Because Xenoblade nearly did despite all the supply problems and being on a dying system not famous for RPGS. Bayonetta passed a million, so why shouldn't it's sequel be near it? And W101 is one of those games that should just keep on selling. Those two may not pass a million , but they should be over 800k LT.