I opened a similar thread about Europe/ others sales and I’d like to hear your opinions about lifetime sales of all 7th generation consoles in the US / America. Please keep your numbers reasonable and back it up with some thoughts.
Well, here we go:
Playstation 3
15 million units
America seems to be the Playstation 3´s smallest market compared to market size – currently the Playstation 3 is selling somewhere between Gamecube and Xbox level and I expect it to sell slightly less than the Xbox but more than Nintendos Gamecube did. My prediction is 15 million units (12.5 million low-end, 17.5 million high-end) while I expect it to sell better in Europe.
Xbox 360
20 million units
Microsoft’s new baby is currently tracking above Xbox (1) levels in the Americas and with the option of at least 2 further price drops I expect momentum for the Xbox 360 to last. All in all it should stop selling at more than 20 million units (17.5 – 22.5 million) in its home country, which is a lot more than the original Xbox sold.
Wii
60 million units
This number may seem huge but please let me explain: Nintendo is currently aiming for the non-gamer and I expect this to work best in the US. Why? The Wii has a cool image there, it is selling at a Playstation 2 level while still being sold out and while some people think Brawl and Wii Fit may be Japan centric games I expect them to sell even better in the US. This always was and probably will be Nintendos strongest market – America is going to be for the Wii what Japan was for the DS and therefore I expect the Wii to outsell the Playstation 2 in the end – keep in mind this number is not that crazy as the Playstation 2 will probably exceed 50 million units in the US, too.
Nintendo DS
45 million units
The DS is the fastest selling console of all times and while it took some time for it to truly pick up in the US it is now selling at a much faster rate than the GBA and the Playstation 2. On the other hand it is possible that Nintendo will release its next handheld in some years and therefore I expect the Nintendo DS to sell “only” 45 million units – more than GBA sold but less than Playstation 2. Of course it will sell more if there is enough time but for now I’ll just go with 45 million units (50 million high-end, which is quite possible, too.)
Playstation Portable
17.5 million Units
Well, the Playstation Portable is always a bit crazy to predict as hardware sells good but people seem to forget there is software available for the system. I expect the Playstation Portable to sell 17.5 million units in the US – pretty good for a handheld that is not from Nintendo, isn´t it?
So, what are your predictions? And what do you think of my numbers? I´d be glad to get some responses, especially if they are backed up with some thoughts.
