US = 375K. EU = 300K. JP = 50K. Rest of World = 100K.
825K first week.
Great launch for a new IP late in the console cycle, hell it'll have a great enough launch for most AAA games to be happy about.
2.75-3.00m lifetime with little bundling.
3.25-3.50m lifetime with short-term mass bundling.
3.75-4.00m lifetime with long-term mass bundling.
... it's very hard to guess lifetime sales like with Naughty Dogs other games this generation because we don't know how much it's going to be bundled. It's safe to say that it will be a big hit and if it is as good as the critics say it is the word of mouth should be great.